PASSIVE INCOME (by this evening)

Hey, I have an unique opportunity for those looking for additional ways to earn income right now. It can be done from home. You can do it in your spare time. And it only takes 6 clicks and as little as $50.

Affluent Americans are driving US economy and likely delaying need for Fed rate cuts

CHRISTOPHER RUGABER
April 29, 2024

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Since retiring two years ago, Joan Harris has upped her travel game.

Once or twice a year, she visits her two adult children in different states. She's planning multiple other trips, including to a science fiction convention in Scotland and a Disney cruise soon after that, along with a trip next year to neolithic sites in Great Britain.

"I really have more money to spend now than when I was working," said Harris, 64, an engineer who worked 29 years for the federal government and lives in Albuquerque, New Mexico.

Back then, she and her now-ex-husband were paying for their children's college educations and piling money into savings accounts. Now, she's splurging a bit and, for the first time, is willing to pay for first-class plane tickets. She plans to fly business class to Scotland and has arranged for a higher-level suite on the cruise.

"I suddenly realized, with my dad getting old and my mom dying, it's like, 'No, you can't take it with you,' " she said. "I could become incapacitated to the point where I couldn't enjoy something like going to Scotland or going on a cruise. So I better do it, right?"

Older Americans like Harris are fueling a sustained boost to the U.S. economy. Benefiting from outsize gains in the stock and housing markets over the past several years, they are accounting for a larger share of consumer spending -- the principal driver of economic growth -- than ever before.

And much of their spending is going toward higher-priced services like travel, health care and entertainment, putting further upward pressure on those prices -- and on inflation. Such spending is relatively immune to the Federal Reserve's push to slow growth and tame inflation through higher borrowing rates, because it rarely requires borrowing.

Affluent older Americans, if they own government bonds, may even be benefiting from the Fed's rate hikes. Those hikes have led to higher bond yields, generating more income for those who own such bonds.

The so-called "wealth effect," whereby rising home and stock values give people confidence to increase their spending, is a big reason why the economy has defied expectations of a sharp slowdown. Its unexpected strength, which is contributing to stickier inflation, has forced a shift in the Fed's plans.

As recently as March, the Fed's policymakers had projected that they would cut their benchmark rate three times this year. Since then, though, inflation measures have remained uncomfortably high, partly a consequence of brisk consumer spending. Chair Jerome Powell made clear recently that the Fed isn't confident enough that inflation is sustainably easing to cut rates.

When the Fed meets this week, it is sure to keep its benchmark rate unchanged at a 23-year high, the result of 11 rate hikes. The Fed's hikes have forced up borrowing costs across the economy -- for everything from home and auto loans to credit cards and business loans.

Even as the Fed has jacked up borrowing costs, stock and home values have kept rising, enlarging the net worth of affluent households. Consider that household wealth grew by an average of 5.5% a year in the decade after the 2008-2009 Great Recession but that since 2018, it's accelerated to nearly 9%.

Stock prices, as measured by the S&P 500 index, are about 72% higher than they were five years ago. Home values soared 58% from the end of 2018 through 2023, according to the Federal Reserve.

All told, Americans' wealth has ballooned from $98 trillion at the end of 2018 to $147 trillion five years later. Adjusting for inflation, the gains are less dramatic, but still substantial.

"People have had significant wealth gains in stocks, significant wealth gains in fixed income, significant wealth gains in home prices, significant wealth gains even in crypto," said Torsten Slok, chief economist at the Apollo Group, an asset manager. "All that adds up to still a very significant tailwind."

The gains are hardly universal. The wealthiest one-tenth of Americans own two-thirds of all household wealth. Still, wealth for the median household -- the midpoint between the richest and poorest -- rose 37% from 2019 to 2022, the sharpest rise on record since the 1980s according to the Fed, to $193,000.

Wealth is also disproportionately held by older Americans. People ages 55 and over now own nearly three-quarters of all household wealth, up from 68% in 2010, according to the Fed. In percentage terms since the pandemic, household net worth has also surged for younger households. But because younger adults started from a much lower level, their gains haven't been anywhere near enough to keep pace with older Americans.

"The baby boomers are the richest retiring generation we've ever had," said Edward Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research. "Not everybody is well-off, but we've never had a retiring generation with this much wealth. That's one of the major reasons why the economy is strong."

That said, many older Americans face significant financial challenges. One-quarter of Americans over age 50 have no retirement savings, according to a survey by the AARP.

Even so, as the huge baby boom generation has aged and, on average, has accumulated more assets, they have accounted for a rising share of consumer spending. Americans ages 65 or over supplied nearly 22% of consumer spending in 2022, the most recent year for which data is available. That's the highest such figure on records dating to 1989, up from about 16% in 2010.

One result of the Fed's higher rates has been a kind of bifurcated economy, by age. Older, wealthier Americans who already own homes and cars have been much less affected by the Fed's rate hikes. By contrast, younger Americans are enduring a combination of expensive home prices and high mortgage rates, making it much harder to buy a first home.

Harris, for one, sees this divide in her own family: Her home and car are paid off, and higher interest rates have had little effect on her finances. She recently visited a home in her neighborhood that she was surprised to see priced at $500,000. She bought hers, which she thinks could fetch a higher price, for $162,000 in 1991.

Her 25-year-old daughter, Ruby, had a vastly different experience during a recent visit to an open house near her boyfriend's apartment in the Boston area. An older two-bedroom apartment was on sale for $800,000; it sold within a week.

Ruby considers herself fortunate to have a well-paying job as a materials engineer. But that apartment price still seemed astronomical. She loves the area, especially for its walkability, but doubts she'll ever be able to afford a house there.

"In the long term, it probably won't be affordable to stay here," she said. "Whereas the Midwest is more affordable but won't have the neighborhoods that I like."

Economists calculate that while the wealth effect generally has a relatively modest effect on spending, it may be larger now. That's because retirement-age Americans, who are more likely to spend out of their wealth, constitute a larger proportion of the nation: Americans ages 65 and over make up about 17% of the population, up from 13% in 2010. And people with stock holdings can now easily access their account balances online, increasing their awareness of increases in their net worth.

Research by Michael Brown, an economist at Visa and others has also found that significant stock market wealth typically boosts spending on discretionary items such as restaurants, travel and entertainment -- sectors of the economy where spending is surging and inflation remains elevated.

The Conference Board, a business research group, asks Americans in its monthly survey of consumer confidence whether they plan an overseas vacation in the next six months. Slok noted that more than one in five households say they are -- a record-high proportion on records dating to 1967.

The cruise provider Royal Caribbean just reported blowout earnings and strong demand, "leading to higher pricing for all our key products," CEO Jason Liberty told investors. "Customer sentiment remains very positive, bolstered by resilient labor markets, wage growth, stabilizing inflation and record-high household net worth."

Last week, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, excluding volatile food and energy costs, rose 2.8% from a year earlier, a sign that inflation remains sticky. Solid consumer spending, particularly on services, was one key factor. In one measure of services inflation that the Fed watches closely, prices climbed 3.5% from a year earlier, far higher than is consistent with its 2% inflation target.

Continue Reading...

Popular

Red Lobster seeks bankruptcy protection days after closing dozens of restaurants

Red Lobster has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection days after shuttering dozens of restaurants.

Breaking News: Elon Musk Invents New Type of A.I. - Ad

According to 30-year Silicon Valley and Wall Street veteran, Eric Fry... A man who picked 41 plays that jumped 1,000%+... Elon Musk is about to shock the world again with this new type of A.I.... Mining new millionaires in the process.

What happened in the UK's infected blood scandal? Inquiry report will be revealed on Monday

LONDON (AP) — The final report of the U.K.'s infected blood inquiry will be published Monday, nearly six years after it began looking into how tens of thousands of people contracted HIV or hepatitis from transfusions of tainted blood and blood products in the 1970s and 1980s.

Stock market today: Asian stocks advance after Wall Street closes out another winning week

HONG KONG (AP) — Asian stocks advanced Monday after U.S. stock indexes drifted around their records on Friday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing above 40,000 for the first time.

Is This Nvidia's Secret Weapon? - Ad

You've likely heard about Nvidia's incredible success in AI. But without this startup's technology, Nvidia's groundbreaking AI chips simply wouldn't be possible. It's still flying under the radar. That could change very soon with a major announcement on the horizon.

Nvidia's Secret Partner... This Is the New AI Chip Powerhouse - Ad

One unknown AI startup could match or even exceed AI's biggest runs in the coming years. Why? Because its technology solves the biggest problem holding back AI. It's a critical component that the industry can't advance without. This company just went public, so right now, it's under the radar.

Will Falling Gas Prices Boost Biden's Popularity? Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman Has This To Say

Ahead of the 2024 presidential election, Paul Krugman has raised questions about whether falling gas prices will positively influence President Joe Biden's poll numbers.

Gold Is SOARING -- Here's What You Need to Do - Ad

Everything is lining up perfectly for a historic gold bull run. One gold expert says he's found the best way to get in, for less than $5.

Russian court freezes assets of 2 German banks in gas project dispute

VIENNA (AP) — A court in the Russian city of St. Petersburg has ordered the seizing of assets of Germany’s Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank in the country, the Russia state news agency Tass says. The order is in response to a lawsuit over the planned construction of a liquefied natural gas terminal in the Baltic Sea.

$25 AI Stock Could Deliver Life-Changing Windfall - Ad

Discover a company at the forefront of the AI revolution, with up to $1 billion in government-backed contracts and 1,372 patent applications. Trading at just $25 a share...

BMW Mini Cooper Imports Linked To Banned Chinese Components: Report

Discover the implications: BMW Group's 8,000 Mini Cooper imports to the US flagged for banned Chinese components, sparking scrutiny from the Senate. Learn how the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA) is reshaping supply chains and raising concerns about forced labor practices in China's Xinjiang region.

The No. 1 Crypto for 2024 - Ad

It's expected to soar 20X bigger than Bitcoin.

Spot Bitcoin ETF Saw Two-Month High Of $948M Net Inflows Last Week

Week 19 of spot Bitcoin ETF trading saw a net inflow of $948 million with a trading volume of $8.5 billion.

The Mysterious Tale of "America's No. 1 Retirement Stock" - Ad

This factory of 53,000 employees, in Burbank, CA, was camouflaged to look like a sleepy suburb (with the help of artists, set designers, and painters from nearby Hollywood movie studios). The mysterious company behind this disappearing act is now being called "America's No. 1 Retirement Stock".

California is testing new generative AI tools. Here's what to know

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — Generative artificial intelligence tools will soon be used by California's government.

Shhh! This Is One Great Coin... - Ad

Shhh! I truly believe this crypto could be one of the top earning cryptos of all time... In fact, in the coming bull run... this one coin could have the potential to bank 10x... 50x... and even 100x.

Katy Perry and Rihanna didn't attend the Met Gala. But AI-generated images still fooled fans

NEW YORK (AP) — No, and didn't attend the this year. But that didn't stop AI-generated images from tricking some fans into thinking the stars made appearances on the steps of fashion's biggest night.

Buy This Next Gen Crypto Before Its Big Upgrade - Ad

Experts predict this one crypto will soar 7,200% by the end of the decade... and grow 20X bigger than bitcoin. But you must get in before it's big.

Pro-Bitcoin President Javier Milei's Argentina Introduces 10,000-Peso Notes As It Combats Hyperinflation, Currency Collapse

To address severe inflation and currency devaluation, Argentina under President Javier Milei, known for his pro-Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) stance, has introduced 10,000 peso notes. The new bills, worth approximately $11, are expected to alleviate the burden of carrying large amounts of cash.

Crypto Millionaires Names His Favorite AI Coin - Ad

According to Bitcoin pioneer and crypto millionaire Charlie Shrem, a tiny $11 project could be the biggest winner of not just the next year, but the next decade. It combines AI and crypto, in one investment.

Demand Soars For Novo Nordisk's Weight-Loss Drug Wegovy Despite Supply Constraints And Eli Lilly Competition

The Danish pharmaceutical company is now shipping more introductory doses of Wegovy to the U.S., as it grapples with supply constraints and competition from Eli Lilly.

AMC Stock On Watch For Q1 Earnings: Estimates, What Analysts Expect, Will Box Office Recover?

AMC stock is down over 90% in the last year. The company reports Q1 results on Wednesday, which could show a weak box office.

Central Banks Buying Gold in Record Numbers - Ad

Most folks have completely missed the fact that the world's Central Banks have been quietly gobbling up as much gold as they can... Stacking it in their locked vaults on pallets in record numbers. Find out why right here (and see what you can do to get in too with just a few dollars).

What's Going On With Palantir Technologies Stock Today?

Last week, Palantir Technologies reported strong Q1 results, beating revenue estimates and delivering six straight quarters of GAAP profitability. It also raised its full-year guidance and aims to be the dominant AI infrastructure in the market.

Colombia breaks diplomatic ties with Israel but its military relies on key Israeli-built equipment

BOGOTA, Colombia (AP) — Colombia has become the latest Latin American country to announce that it over its military campaign in Gaza, but the repercussions for the South American nation could be broader than for other countries because of longstanding bilateral agreements over security matters.

BREAKING: New "Formula" Could Lead to Huge AI Payouts - Ad

Investors - including multiple billionaires - are now tapping into a unique AI secret to pocket huge, consistent payouts. Starting today, you could siphon a new stream of income from this $3 billion pool of cash.

Why Datadog Stock Tanked After Q1 Earnings?

Datadog's stock price dropped after reporting Q1 results. Revenue grew 27%, EPS beat estimates, and outlook is positive. Stock gained 46% in last year.

Bystander livestreams during Charlotte standoff show an ever-growing appetite for social media video

CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) — Saing Chhoeun was locked out of his Charlotte, North Carolina, home on Monday as law enforcement with high-powered rifles descended into his yard and garage, using a car as a shield as they were from the direction of his neighbor's house.

How to Profit From the New Boom in Gold - Ad

Gold just passed $2,000/oz and is set for a new bull run in 2024. Now a renowned precious metals expert is sharing his No. 1 way to play it for just $5.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright trendadvisor.net
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service