The Next Biggest Bull Run In Over 50 Years

Gold has hit all-time highs, breaking $4,000 an ounce - but history shows it could be on the verge of its biggest bull run in over half a century... triggered by a likely major event, eerily similar to what happened in the 1970s. (It's NOT inflation or anything you're likely expecting.) Now, a top analyst says you can capture ALL of the upside without touching a risky miner or a boring exchange-traded fund. He sees extraordinary potential gains long term with very little risk.

Far From Fast: Shein's Overseas Odyssey Hits Fresh Obstacles

The Bamboo Works
September 25, 2024

Key Takeaways:

  • A politician in Britain’s ruling party is calling for a review of Shein’s London IPO bid and a ban on goods sourced from Xinjiang
  • A proposed U.S. move to revoke a tax exemption for low-value goods could add 20% or more to Shein’s prices 

By Lee Shih Ta

The world of ultra-fast fashion relies on speedy gratification, with a brand new outfit just a click away. Chinese clothing retailer Shein has made rapid inroads into Western markets with this business model, but an overseas IPO has not turned out to be a quick win.

Amid mounting tensions with Western trading nations, China’s e-commerce companies are finding themselves caught in the crossfire. Shein came up against firm resistance as it shopped around for an overseas IPO venue and could also face an assault on its price advantage in U.S. markets.

Shein is officially headquartered in Singapore, but its operations are rooted in China’s Guangdong Province. An attempt to list in New York faltered after political opposition. The fashion powerhouse then switched its attentions to the London Stock Exchange, which is keen to get the IPO business, but the revised plan could also be running into trouble.

A senior British political figure is calling for closer government scrutiny of the IPO application, citing concerns about the treatment of workers in Shein’s supply chain.

Liam Byrne, a lawmaker in the ruling Labour Party who heads parliament’s powerful trade committee, wants the government to emulate a U.S. ban on cotton imports from the Xinjiang region over the suspected use of forced labor from among the Uighur community. Britain should adopt the same standards on human rights and supply chain transparency as the United States in the interest of strengthening bilateral ties, Byrne said in statements reported by the U.K. media.

Meanwhile, U.K. activists have launched a “Say No to Shein” campaign, calling for the company’s labor practices, environmental impact and tax arrangements to be investigated before any IPO green light is given.

Tax Loophole

The controversy highlights a growing polarization between China and the West as commercial competition intensifies.

According to a study by the International Monetary Fund, the globalized world is dividing into two blocs led by the U.S. and China, with declining trade and investment links between the competing alliances.

Against this background, U.S. legislators have turned their critical gaze towards the duty-free tax status enjoyed by the flood of small packages sent to U.S. consumers by Chinese e-commerce firms such as Shein and Temu.

The U.S. government recently announced that it wanted to curb the volume of small shipments that currently enter the country duty free up to a value threshold of $800, under a provision originally intended to make it easier for individuals to get modest packages or souvenirs from abroad.

Critics of the so-called “de minimis” rule say it has been exploited by the likes of Shein and Temu to offer products at ultra-low prices, to the detriment of U.S. producers and retailers. According to the White House, the number of low-value items entering the U.S. without incurring import taxes has jumped from 140 million to 1 billion in the past decade.

The China Select Committee in the U.S. Congress estimates that 30% of all goods imported under the rule were shipped by Shein and Temu. The bipartisan group of lawmakers also predicted the proposed revision would add at least another 20% to the prices charged by Shein and Temu, dealing a significant blow to the Chinese companies’ market competitiveness.

Under the proposed change, goods otherwise subject to trade tariffs – including around 70% of textiles and clothing produced by China – would no longer qualify for the tax break for low-value goods.

The U.S. is not alone in rethinking the tax treatment of online shopping sourced from overseas. The European Union is also reported to be considering revoking a similar rule that allows online purchases worth up to 150 euros to enter its market free of duty.

The defensive moves point to growing concern about the threat that cheap imports are posing to domestic manufacturers via online shopping platforms.

Sales figures from Chinese online giants underline how quickly they have been changing the game. Shein’s sales rose 40% last year to $32.2 billion (around 228 billion yuan), surpassing Zara (OTC:IDEXY), H&M (OTC:HNNMY) and UNIQLO (6288.HK; 9983.T). The year-on-year growth in sales accelerated from a 37% rise in 2022. 

Low price is Shein’s biggest weapon in the fast-fashion market. On Shein dresses were selling for an average of $28.5 in early June, compared with about $40 at H&M and $79 at Zara, according to data from the retail analytics firm Edited. If the tax changes push its prices up by 20%, Shein will land in the same price ballpark as H&M. 

Pushback From China? 

Valued at $66 billion last year after its latest funding round, Shein is a super unicorn following in the footsteps of other Chinese tech companies on the global market stage, but in rather more challenging times. A decade ago, Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) raised $25 billion through a New York IPO, while Shein got a frostier reception in its bid to list on global exchanges.

Founded in Nanjing, Shein moved its headquarters to Singapore to better access Western capital, whilefounder Chris Xu even took up formal residency in the city state, underlining the company’s international credentials. Shein’s online profile plays down the company’s Chinese origins, but the supply chains, warehouses and inventories are still very much inside China.

Shein is not just coming under Western scrutiny over its listing plans – it is also still subject to Chinese regulatory oversight. Chinese rules require a company to file IPO plans with the country’s securities regulator if 50% or more of its operating income, profits, total assets or net assets are generated within China, regardless of where the holding company is registered. 

Chinese regulators have yet to approve Shein’s plans for an overseas IPO. In fact, some foreign media have reported that the government is unhappy about Shein distancing itself from its Chinese heritage and could be worried about fostering a growing trend of corporate decoupling. 

With resistance from China and the U.S., Shein might want to weigh up the merits of a listing in Hong Kong.

This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga's reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.

Continue Reading...

Popular

First Drug to Show Breakthrough Myocarditis Data. Analysts See Potential 7-10x Upside. - Ad

This biotech just delivered a medical first in myocarditis and has a Phase 3 trial fully funded into 2027. Wall Street targets imply massive revaluation ahead.

Cathie Wood Dumps $11.6 Million Worth Of Tesla Stock: Here Is What Ark Purchased Instead

On Wednesday, Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest made significant trades involving Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), Coinbase Global Inc.

Copper Is Tight, Silver Is Rising - And This Early Nevada Play Hits the Timing Perfectly - Ad

AI, electrification, battery storage, and data centers are pushing copper and silver demand sharply higher, even as supply stays tight. This region in Nevada offers rare multi-metal potential, and a new company has secured land in a district the surging district. It's one of the cleanest timing setups in the sector right now.

US air travelers without REAL IDs will be charged a $45 fee

Air travelers in the U.S. without a will be charged a $45 fee beginning in February, the Transportation Security Administration announced Monday.

Trump says he's rebuilding Dulles airport while his administration is fixing the 'people movers'

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump said Tuesday that his administration will embark on a reconstruction of Dulles International Airport in northern Virginia.

The Smart Money Copper Trade - Ad

Only one lines up grade, scale potential, and Quebec power like this. Insider alignment is real. Stepouts are opening new zones. With EVs and grid buildouts rising, this could be the timely copper idea you have been waiting for.

Trump-Pardoned Ponzi Schemer Faces 37-Year Sentence For $44 Million COVID Scam

A previously convicted Ponzi schemer who had received a pardon from President Trump is heading back to prison due to involvement in a new fraudulent scheme.

The $43B Big Pharma Story is Starting Over-With a New Player - Ad

Big Pharma once paid $43B for a small biotech with a similar platform. Now, a new company is following that same playbook, leveraging its patented delivery technology to attract partnerships and near-term revenue potential.

Trump Withdraws Support For 'Wacky' Marjorie Taylor Greene In Sudden, Fiery Split: 'I Can't Take...'

President Donald Trump said he is withdrawing his endorsement of longtime ally Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene — here's what happened.

D.C.'s Quiet Plan for a New Tech Era - Ad

Why did federal agencies receive orders to "clear the runway" for a phenomenon most Americans haven't even heard of yet? And why are billionaires rushing in weeks before January 1? Whitney Tilson decoded the pattern.

California revokes 17,000 driver's licenses. But the state disputes it is over immigration concerns

California plans to revoke 17,000 commercial driver’s licenses given to immigrants after the Trump administration raised concerns about people in the country illegally receiving licenses to drive a semitruck or a bus. But Gov. Gavin Newsom said that isn't the reason.

Iran confirms seizure of oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz

TEHRAN, Iran (AP) — Iran on Saturday confirmed as it traveled through the narrow Strait of Hormuz over violations including carrying an illegal consignment, state media reported.

Bitcoin Just Humbled Jeff Bezos - Ad

Bitcoin just passed Amazon in market cap - yet most investors are making one big mistake: just buying and holding. Larry Benedict's "Bitcoin Skimming" method could deliver 6x, 9x, even 22x the gains. Don't miss out.

Cathie Wood Bets Big On These Stocks As Bitcoin, Ethereum Crash —Dumps Instagram Rival

On Tuesday, Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest made significant trades, notably increasing its holdings in Bullish (NYSE:BLSH), Coinbase Glo

Donald Trump Administration's Unprecedented Investment In Private Firms Raises Eyebrows

President Trump administration has invested over $10 billion of taxpayer funds in private companies deemed crucial to national security.

Weiss Gold Veteran Makes Shocking New Call - Ad

Weiss expert Sean Brodrick went out on a limb last year and declared a historic event would send the yellow metal to $3,150. People laughed at him at the time, but he was off by just two days. Now, Sean has a shocking new prediction for gold ... and reveals a little-known way to get ahead of this bull market.

All 14 victims identified from fiery UPS cargo plane crash in Louisville

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) — A grandfather and his young granddaughter. An electrician with two young children. A woman standing in line at a scrap metal business.

New York advances casinos at a Bronx golf course and near Mets stadium

NEW YORK (AP) — Casinos proposed for a golf course in the Bronx and next to the New York Mets’ ballpark are poised to cash in on a for the New York City area.

Investing Legend Hints the End May Be Near for These 3 Iconic Stocks - Ad

Futurist Eric Fry say Amazon, Tesla and Nvidia are all on the verge of major disruption. To help protect anyone with money invested in them, he's sharing three exciting stocks to replace them with. He gives away the names and tickers completely free in his brand-new "Sell This, Buy That" broadcast.

What to know about the apartment tower fire in Hong Kong

HONG KONG (AP) — Hong Kong firefighters were making a final push to try and find any survivors from the city's , going apartment-to-apartment in the high-rise complex in an exhaustive search.

Weekend Round-Up: Airbus Chaos, BYD's Massive Recall, Tesla's Free FSD Rides, Rivian's Tax Credit Silver Lining And More

From emergency aircraft recalls to massive vehicle recalls in China, to free self-driving rides in Europe, the past week was buzzing in the auto and tech sector.

Trump Signs Law to Launch Dollar 2.0 - Ad

Trump just signed law S.1582, unleashing the biggest money shift in 100+ years. For the first time since 1913, private firms - not the Fed - can mint a "Dollar 2.0." Treasury says it could drain $6.6T from banks and pay 10X current savings rates. Early investors in minting firms could see 40X returns by 2032.

DOJ Greenlights Strikes on Drug Boats, Citing Fentanyl as Potential Chemical Weapon

The DOJ has classified Fentanyl as a potential chemical weapon. This classification has led to the authorization of strikes on drug-smuggling boats.

The Next Biggest Bull Run In Over 50 Years - Ad

Gold has hit all-time highs, breaking $4,000 an ounce - but history shows it could be on the verge of its biggest bull run in over half a century... triggered by a likely major event, eerily similar to what happened in the 1970s. (It's NOT inflation or anything you're likely expecting.) Now, a top analyst says you can capture ALL of the upside without touching a risky miner or a boring exchange-traded fund. He sees extraordinary potential gains long term with very little risk.

An archaeologist is racing to preserve Sudan's heritage as war threatens to erase its cultural past

PARIS (AP) — In a dimly lit office in a corner of the French National Institute for Art History, Sudanese archaeologist Shadia Abdrabo studies a photograph of pottery made in her country around 7,000 B.C. She carefully types a description of the Neolithic artifact into a spreadsheet.

Samsung Hikes Key Chip Prices 60% To Keep Up With AI Boom 'Panic Ordering'

Samsung Electronics (OTC: SSNLF) has hiked prices on key memory chips by up to 60% since September due to high demand and supply shortage.

First Drug to Show Breakthrough Myocarditis Data. Analysts See Potential 7-10x Upside. - Ad

This biotech just delivered a medical first in myocarditis and has a Phase 3 trial fully funded into 2027. Wall Street targets imply massive revaluation ahead.

Nokia Secures Multi-Year Pact To Power Telecom Italia's 5G Expansion

Nokia (NYSE: NOK) secures 3-year deal with Telecom Italia (OTC: TIIAY) to expand 5G coverage in Italy using latest equipment.

Copper Is Tight, Silver Is Rising - And This Early Nevada Play Hits the Timing Perfectly - Ad

AI, electrification, battery storage, and data centers are pushing copper and silver demand sharply higher, even as supply stays tight. This region in Nevada offers rare multi-metal potential, and a new company has secured land in a district the surging district. It's one of the cleanest timing setups in the sector right now.

Scrapyard workers recount horrific scene after UPS plane crash destroyed their Kentucky business

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) — Supervisor Adam Bowman was loading metal onto a truck at a scrapyard just south of the Louisville, Kentucky, airport when he heard what he first thought was a transformer explosion and quickly realized was more horrific.

Bill Gates' Daughter Phoebe's AI Shopping Assistant Found Collecting Extensive User Data: Report

Phia, co-founded by Phoebe Gates, has been found collecting extensive user data through its browser extension, raising privacy concerns.

The Smart Money Copper Trade - Ad

Only one lines up grade, scale potential, and Quebec power like this. Insider alignment is real. Stepouts are opening new zones. With EVs and grid buildouts rising, this could be the timely copper idea you have been waiting for.

Tax-Free Student Loan Forgiveness Expires In 2026, Who Owes More Next Year?

The American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 will make most student loan forgiveness tax-free until 2025, then borrowers may owe thousands in taxes.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright trendadvisor.net
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service