Nvidia CEO Says It Will Spark "the Next Revolution" Beyond AI

Declares this radical biotechnology "is going to be flat out one of the biggest [tech revolutions] ever." And this $10 stock is at the center of all.

Recession has struck some of the world's top economies. The US keeps defying expectations

STAN CHOE and CHRISTOPHER RUGABER
February 15, 2024

NEW YORK (AP) -- As some of the world's biggest economies stumble into recession, the United States keeps chugging along.

Both Japan and the United Kingdom said Thursday their economies likely weakened during the final three months of 2023. For each, it would be the second straight quarter that's happened, which fits one lay definition for a recession.

Yet in the United States, the economy motored ahead in last year's fourth quarter for a sixth straight quarter of growth. It's blown past many predictions coming into last year that a recession seemed inevitable because of high interest rates meant to slow the economy and inflation.

Give much of the credit to U.S. households, who have continued to spend at a solid rate despite many challenges. Their spending makes up the majority of the U.S. economy. Government stimulus helped households weather the initial stages of the pandemic and a jump in inflation, and now pay raises are helping them catch up to high prices for the goods and services they need.

On Thursday, a report showed that fewer U.S. workers filed for unemployment benefits last week. It's the latest signal of a remarkably solid job market, even though a litany of layoff announcements has grabbed attention recently. Continued strength there should help prop up the economy.

Of course, risks still loom, and economists say a recession can't be ruled out. Inflation could reaccelerate. Worries about heavy borrowing by the U.S. government could upset financial markets, ultimately making loans to buy cars and other things more expensive. Growing losses tied to commercial real estate could mean big pain for the financial system.

But, for now, the outlook continues to appear better for the United States than many other big economies. The mood on Wall Street is so positive that the main measure of the U.S. stock market, the S&P 500 index, topped the 5,000 level last week for the first time.

"First and foremost, it's important to emphasize that the market's performance is more a reflection of a thriving economy rather than unwarranted 'animal spirits' from investors," according to Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer, Americas, at UBS Global Wealth Management.

When it upgraded its forecast for global growth in 2024 a couple weeks ago, the International Monetary Fund cited greater-than-expected resilience in the U.S. economy as a major reason.

Several unique characteristics of the U.S. economy have sheltered it from recessionary storms, analysts say. The U.S. government provided about $5 trillion in pandemic aid in 2020-2021, far more than overseas counterparts, which left most households in much better financial shape and supported consumer spending well into 2023.

The Biden administration has also subsidized more construction of manufacturing plants and infrastructure through additional legislation passed in 2021 and 2022 that was still having an impact last year. About one quarter of the U.S. economy's solid 2.5% growth in 2023 was made up of government spending. Republican critics, however, charge that the extended spending contributed to higher inflation.

"We had some policies that I do think helped us a lot," said Diane Swonk, chief economist at KPMG. "But also the structure of our economy is so much different."

Americans have been better protected from rising rates than U.K. counterparts, for example, because most U.S. homeowners with mortgages have long, 30-year fixed rates. As a result, the Federal Reserve's rapid rate hikes of the past two years -- which have lifted mortgage rates from around 3% to about 6.7% -- have had little effect on many U.S. homeowners.

Yet their British counterparts carry mortgages that have to be renewed every two to five years. They've struggled with rapidly rising mortgage rates as the Bank of England has lifted borrowing costs to combat inflation.

Catherine Mann, a member of the Bank of England's interest-rate setting committee, said Thursday that the U.K. economy's slowdown should be temporary. There are already signs in business surveys that the economy is picking back up, she added.

"The data we have today is rear-view mirror," she said on the sidelines of an economic conference in Washington. Forward-looking reports "are all looking good." Like the Fed, the Bank of England is considering reducing its benchmark rate once it is confident inflation is under control.

Another benefit for the United States is that it experienced a surge in immigration in recent years, which has made it easier for businesses to fill jobs, potentially expand their operations, and has led to more people earning wages -- and then spending those earnings.

Japan, by contrast, is rapidly aging and has seen its population shrink for years, as it is less open to foreign labor. A declining population can act as a powerful drag on economic growth.

In Europe, consumer sentiment is weak among consumers who are still feeling the effects of higher energy prices caused by the war in Ukraine.

Even China, whose economy is growing faster than the United States', is under heavy pressure. Its stock markets have been among the world's worst recently due to worries about a sluggish economic recovery and troubles in the property sector.

The U.S. economy faces its own challenges. Its growth is forecast to cool this year as big hikes to interest rates by the Federal Reserve make their way fully through the system.

A report on Thursday may have given a nod to that. Sales at U.S. retailers slumped by more in January from December than economists expected.

Some pillars of support for consumer spending may be weakening. Student loan repayments have resumed, consumers have largely spent their pandemic stimulus money and credit-card balances are high.

Perhaps most frustrating is the fact that prices for things at the market are still much higher than they were before the pandemic. Lower inflation means prices are rising less quickly from here, not that they're falling back to where they used to be.

Coping with inflation remains U.S. consumers' top concern, except for those making more than $150,000, according to a recent survey by Morgan Stanley.

When McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski discussed his company's latest quarterly results, he said he's not seeing much change in behavior among middle- and upper-income customers. But "where you see the pressure with the US consumer is that low-income consumer, so call it $45,000 and under. That consumer is pressured."

___

Rugaber reported from Washington.

Continue Reading...

Popular

Your 2024 Election Money Blueprint - Ad

Voters are angrier than ever, and it's likely to keep getting worse. The media and Wall Street keep declaring how great the economy supposedly is... but no one -- besides the ultra-rich -- seems to feel that way. Protect yourself with this one simple move today.

Hope Hicks Testifies On Trump's Ex-Lawyer Michael Cohen's 'Mr. Fix It' Moniker: 'Only Because He Broke It First'

The criminal trial against Donald Trump saw former Trump aide Hope Hicks take the stand Friday and discuss Michael Cohen and the "Access Hollywood" tape.

Elon Musk Issues Stark Warning Amid Rising National Debt: '...The Dollar Will Be Worth Nothing'

Elon Musk has voiced concerns about the future stability of the U.S. dollar, highlighting the escalating national debt as a potential catalyst for a looming economic crisis.

NOT Bitcoin or Options... But Already Making Folks Rich in 2024 - Ad

Former Goldman Sachs Trader Dr. David Eifrig just stepped forward with a way to protect your money this November -- no matter who wins the presidential seat. In fact, election chaos will likely make this even better. It's a "secret" of the rich and connected that 99% of folks don't know about...

Could Elon Musk's New Device Save Us from A.I. Apocalypse? - Ad

A strange new era for mankind is upon us... And it's all thanks to Elon Musk's latest creation. So he invented this strange new device to protect us against that A.I. threat. See this strange device you could be wearing some day.

Top 3 Tech Stocks That May Explode This Month

The most oversold stocks in the information technology sector presents an opportunity to buy into undervalued companies.

Crypto Reboot Finally Makes An 8,788% Return Possible [NOT Bitcoin] - Ad

A crypto millionaire is revealing that a different cryptocurrency is going to do even better... It's not simply "buy the dip." Instead, it's a strategy that James learned during the dot com stock market crash. Not only has this strategy worked in a crash... it needs a crash to work best.

Trump Meets With DeSantis, Noem Stirs Up Controversy: How Will Republican Vice President Betting Odds Be Impacted?

The relationship between Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis was heated at times during the Republican primary season, before the Florida governor dropped out of the 2024 presidential election and threw his support behind the

Did This Crypto Millionaire Humiliate Himself? - Ad

On September 2022, crypto millionaire James Altucher published a video saying he had sold all his Bitcoin... and doubled down on this crypto instead. At the time, cryptos had already dropped 70%. But James still said this crypto was a good investment. Was he right? Or did he embarrass himself?

Colombia breaks diplomatic ties with Israel but its military relies on key Israeli-built equipment

BOGOTA, Colombia (AP) — Colombia has become the latest Latin American country to announce that it over its military campaign in Gaza, but the repercussions for the South American nation could be broader than for other countries because of longstanding bilateral agreements over security matters.

Trump vs. Biden: Nationwide Poll Shows Key Issue Decidedly Tilts Equation In Favor Of One Candidate

Even though the economy has been relatively stable despite challenges, voters remain unconvinced about the Biden administration's performance.

The No. 1 Crypto for 2024 - Ad

It's expected to soar 20X bigger than Bitcoin.

Top 3 Real Estate Stocks That Are Set To Fly In April

The RSI is a momentum indicator, which compares a stock’s strength on days when prices go up to its strength on days when prices go down.

French cyberwarriors ready to test their defense against hackers and malware during the Olympics

SAINT-DENIS, France (AP) — Just like the Olympic athletes, the cyberwarriors that will be crucial for the success of are deep into training for the big event.

Mystery of the Rich and Connected Revealed - Ad

Former Goldman VP reveals a mysterious "Gold Bank" with huge upside potential... Last time we shared this, some folks could have seen a 995% gain. Don't be surprised if you've never heard of this -- most haven't. But he's sharing all in this new video.

Elon Musk's FSD Is The End Of Manual Driving? Tesla Bull Gene Munster Believes 'Somebody Born Today Is Probably Never Going To Drive A Car'

Tesla has decided to reduce the price of its 'full self-driving' subscription by half to $99 per month. This decision has led Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, to predict the end of manual driving.

Boeing is on the verge of launching astronauts aboard new capsule, the newest entry to space travel

CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. (AP) — After years of delays and stumbles, Boeing is finally poised to launch astronauts to the International Space Station for NASA.

The Next Nvidia? - Ad

Wall Street legend has just uncovered one tiny Maryland company that could become the next Nvidia. Few in the media are talking about this story yet...but in the next 6 months that's all they'll talk about.

Delaware judge refuses to fast-track certain claims in post-merger lawsuit against Trump Media

DOVER, Del. (AP) — A Delaware judge on Tuesday granted a request by attorneys for Donald Trump and Trump Media & Technology Group, parent company of his Truth Social platform, to slow down a lawsuit filed by two cofounders of the company.

Netflix Stock Sized Up By 7 Analysts Post Q1 Results: 'Pivot From A High-Growth, Low-Profit Business To A Slow-Growth, High-Profit Business'

Streaming leader Netflix reported first quarter financial results that were higher than estimates. The company's outlook and decision to stop reporting subscriber figures are weighing on analysts.

A.I. Pioneer Issues Urgent Warning to Americans - Ad

According to one early A.I. pioneer: "You can either use this as an unfair advantage to grow your wealth, or you can let it ravage your retirement savings. There's no middle option."

Here's How Much A Super Bowl LIX Commercial Will Cost, How Fox Corporation Stock Could Benefit

Super Bowl LIX is months away, but it's already time to talk about the commercials with a high price tag already reported.

This Man, Who Never Went To University, Is Making $1.2M-A-Year At Deloitte At The Age Of 30

Ben Newton, a former apprentice at Deloitte, has achieved the feat of becoming a partner at the age of 30, earning $1.2 million a year.

Has Jeff Bezos Found the Next Nvidia? - Ad

Wall Street legend has just uncovered one tiny Maryland company that could become the next Nvidia. Few in the media are talking about this story yet...but in the next 6 months that's all they'll talk about.

Turkey halts all trade with Israel over military actions in Gaza

ANKARA, Turkey (AP) — Turkey on Thursday suspended all imports and exports to Israel citing the country's and vowed to continue to impose other measures until the Israeli government allows the flow of humanitarian aid to the region.

Central Banks Buying Gold in Record Numbers - Ad

Most folks have completely missed the fact that the world's Central Banks have been quietly gobbling up as much gold as they can... Stacking it in their locked vaults on pallets in record numbers. Find out why right here (and see what you can do to get in too with just a few dollars).

A strong quarter for Wall Street lifts Goldman's first-quarter results

NEW YORK (AP) — Goldman Sachs said it saw a double digit rise in its first quarter profits on Monday, lifted broadly by the stock and bond markets' performances in the first months of the year.

Nvidia Robotics Expert Praises Tesla FSD's 'Human-Like Maneuvers' As Magical

Tesla's latest FSD feature has impressed users like Nvidia employee Yuke Zhu who called it 'magical'. Tesla has made FSD more accessible with price cuts and free trials.

What Should You Be Doing To "A.I.-Proof" Your Retirement? - Ad

A.I. is creeping into every aspect of our daily lives... According to billion-dollar fund manager Louis Navellier, it's never been more important to A.I.-proof your wealth. He lays out three simple steps to take ASAP in his latest video.

TotalEnergies Trades Mature Assets for Growth In Low-Emission Congolese Oil Field

TotalEnergies SE has signed a deal with Trident Energy for purchase and sale transactions in Congo, increasing its stake in the Moho license and selling its interests in the Nkossa and Nsoko II licenses.

Fraudsters target small businesses with scams. Here are some to watch out for

NEW YORK (AP) — It's never fun to be scammed, but if you're a small business owner then falling for a scam can have long-lasting effects on a business, damaging client relationships and profit.

Jeff Bezos Just Humiliated Elon Musk - Ad

Wall Street legend has just uncovered one tiny Maryland company that could become the next Nvidia. Few in the media are talking about this story yet...but in the next 6 months that's all they'll talk about.

Goldman Sachs Thinks GE Vernova Is Uniquely Positioned To Electrify And Decarbonize Future

Goldman Sachs analyst Joe Ritchie kicks off coverage on GE Vernova with a Buy rating, projecting a target price of $154. Highlighting GEV's significant global electricity contribution and advanced grid technologies, Ritchie anticipates double-digit profitability for the Power business by 2024.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright trendadvisor.net
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service