Man Who Predicted Trump's Win: "Do This Before January 20th"

According to legendary investor Louis Navellier, who correctly predicted Trump's win... This Trump inauguration move could be the difference between accelerating your retirement in the first 100 days of his administration...OR losing a big chunk of your retirement.

Europe's economy needs help. Political chaos in France and Germany means it may be slower in coming

DAVID McHUGH and LORNE COOK
December 08, 2024

BRUSSELS (AP) -- Even before the French and German governments collapsed, Europe's economy had enough difficulties. Tepid growth and lagging competitiveness versus the U.S. and China. An auto industry that's struggling. Where to find billions for defense against Russia? And now Donald Trump threatening tariffs.

Solutions will be harder to find while the two countries that make up almost half of the eurozone economy remain stuck in political paralysis well into 2025.

Where once there was the so-called French-German axis to push Europe ahead, now there's a vacuum. French Prime Minister Michel Barnier resigned Thursday after losing a vote of confidence, and while President Emmanuel Macron will appoint a successor, the new head of government will lack a majority. Elections are not constitutionally permitted until at least June.

Germany's coalition led by Social Democratic Chancellor Olaf Scholz with the Greens and pro-business Free Democrats fractured in November, triggering an early election on Feb. 23. Talks to form a new government could last into April.

At least Germany's likely new chancellor, conservative opposition leader Friedrich Merz, appears open to loosening constitutional restrictions on borrowing to enable pro-growth spending and investment, said Mujtaba Rahman, managing director Europe at Eurasia Group.

France, however, could be facing "complete paralysis on the economic question," Rahman said. "It's highly unlikely they're going to get a political equilibrium that has a mandate to implement a credible fiscal course correction."

"And that's obviously a problem for Europe because it means the great potential of the European economy is not what it otherwise should be, because you don't have France and Germany firing on all cylinders," he said.

Then there's Europe's lagging business environment, dissected by former European Central Bank head Mario Draghi in a report that contains recommendations such as common borrowing to support public investment; EU-wide industrial policy; and integrating financial markets to help startups raise capital. Yet "nothing can move in Europe without Franco-German alignment," Rahman said.

Meanwhile, Europe's auto industry has sought a review of tough EU emissions standards in 2025 instead of 2026, saying slackening demand for electric cars means they won't be able to avoid heavy fines and that the money would be better used to develop new electric vehicles.

Anne-Laure Delatte, a French economist and head of research at the National Center for Scientific Research, said financial markets remain cautious but are not overly alarmed by France's political instability. But economic weakness in France and Germany could have broader implications for the European Union.

"This could either weaken Europe's position globally or shift power and influence to other European countries like the Netherlands or Spain, which are performing well at the moment," she said.

France is expected to see growth of 1.1% this year and 0.8% next year, while Germany's economy is expected to shrink 0.1% this year, the second consecutive year of contraction, and rebound modestly with 0.7% next year. Germany faces headwinds from a shortage of skilled labor, excessive bureaucracy and higher energy prices, and efforts to address those issues have been stalled by squabbling in Scholz's coalition.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, head of the EU's executive arm, is equipped with serious powers, especially on trade, a key EU authority delegated to Brussels by member countries. But there's only so much von der Leyen can do without political backing from the two biggest member countries, whose national budgets are bigger than the EU's.

The most urgent matter may be how to respond to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, who takes office Jan. 20. European officials are trying to defuse a potential trade conflict involving new U.S. tariffs or import taxes on European goods that would seriously ding the continent's export-focused economy.

Europe could decide not to retaliate to any U.S. tariffs, thus avoiding a mutually destructive tit-for-tat cycle. The bloc could also commit to buying U.S. liquefied natural gas to mollify Trump, or spend billions more on defense for Ukraine to answer his complaint that European countries don't meet NATO commitments on defense spending.

Europe is seeing only modest growth as consumers pummeled by inflation remain cautious about spending. The economy is expected to expand 0.8% this year and 1.3% next year for the 20 EU member countries that use the euro currency, according to the European Commission.

While the direct impact on growth is small, the political logjam means Europe is missing an important opportunity to engage Trump, said Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg Bank.

"It would be ideal if Europe -- at the moment when Trump is not yet in office -- would prepare a big offer for Trump, such as: We spend significantly more on defense, if on trade and on Ukraine you don't disappoint us. This is unfortunately not happening."

"The risk is that Trump on trade might be tougher on us than otherwise because Germany and France are missing in action," he said.

Von der Leyen can offer to get countries to purchase more U.S. natural gas and remind Trump that the EU could retaliate, but "the offer that Europe can make to Trump is small, rather than a big offer where there would be German and French money behind it."

The EU commission estimates that as much as 500 billion euros ($528 billion) will be needed over the next decade to help meet the bloc's security needs. Defense Commissioner Andrius Kubilius has indicated common defense bonds could raise that enormous sum. But moving ahead without Germany, the bloc's biggest member, is hard to imagine.

The big issues such as defense and competitiveness "require the fiscal and parliamentary resources of the biggest member states and the question is whether Germany and France are in a position to enable that at the European level," said Rahman.

"I think the answer is probably yes, but I feel a bit less certain than I would have had Germany and France not had this very difficult political time."

___

McHugh reported from Frankfurt, Germany. Associated Press reporter Tom Nouvian in Paris contributed.

Continue Reading...

Popular

Trump Treasury Nominee Pledges To Maintain Dollar's Global Reserve Status, Outlines Vision For 'New Economic Golden Age'

Scott Bessent, Trump's Treasury Secretary nominee, pledged to uphold the dollar's reserve currency status, emphasizing productive investment, supply chain security, and strategic sanctions to bolster U.S. economic dominance.

The Brand New Tech Creating Millionaires (Buy These Four Stocks) - Ad

A new technology is taking the world by storm, transforming lives, and making early investors incredibly rich. In the following video, I'll show you four stocks with absolutely explosive upside potential and the ability to turn every dollar you invest into life-changing returns.

Poland's leader accuses Russia of planning acts of terror against 'airlines over the world'

WARSAW, Poland (AP) — Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk accused Russia on Wednesday of planning acts of sabotage worldwide that included “acts of air terror” against airlines.

Bloomberg reports that Meta will lay off 5% of staff

News reports say that social media company Meta Platforms is planning to cut 5% of total staff this year by terminating staff based on performance and hiring new workers to replace them.

If you walked by this guy on the street, you would not think "millionaire" - Ad

You would probably think "accountant" or "average cubicle guy." Actually, he was a lawyer until he unlocked this secret that made him $5 million. How does he do it? We'll warn you... it's about as exciting as a ham sandwich. But it's turning regular readers into 6-figure income machines.

What Melania Trump wore to the inauguration — including the hat

While red baseball caps have become synonymous with President Donald Trump, made her own millinery-related fashion statement, sporting a navy wide-brimmed hat by an American designer

How TikTok grew from a fun app for teens into a potential national security threat

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — If it feels like TikTok has been around forever, that's probably because it has, at least if you're measuring via internet time. What's now in question is whether it will be around much longer and, if so, in what form?

My TOP Altcoin for Right Now Is... - Ad

Searching for the top investment opportunity in crypto? Look no further. Our $3 report gives you the full scoop. You'll get this exciting token's name, our recommended investment strategy, and growth projections. Time is of the essence with this one...

Trump's next move could be the catalyst that triggers Bitcoin's next BIG breakout - Ad

But here's why I'm not buying Bitcoin directly: It's VERY expensive. Instead, I've found a better way to profit -- without touching any coins, ETFs, or digital wallets. This little-known $25 investment is accessible through your regular brokerage account. It's already up over 10% since Trump's victory, and it's just getting started.

Apple's Market Woes, Tim Cook's 2024 Salary, And Siri Privacy Concerns: This Week In Appleverse

Apple faced market share decline in China while CEO Tim Cook got a pay raise. Siri privacy policies were clarified and AI flaws were acknowledged. Rival Samsung introduced an AI subscription model for its Galaxy smartphones.

How much is TikTok worth and who could buy it?

NEW YORK (AP) — The supremely popular TikTok could be banned on Jan. 19 under a federal law that forces the video sharing platform to divest itself from its China-based parent company, ByteDance, or shut down its U.S. operations.

Is This Defi Coin Your Next "10-Bagger" Investment? - Ad

Our #1 pick in decentralized finance is largely overlooked by mainstream investors (for now). This governance token could skyrocket as DeFi adoption surges with the smart money and institutions.

CBRE Is This Analyst's Top Pick Betting On Commercial Real Estate Recovery, Upgrades Stock

Morgan Stanley upgrades CBRE to Overweight, raises price target to $160, citing strong growth prospects and a 29% total return potential in 2025.

Biden warns the US risks becoming an 'oligarchy.' What does the term mean?

WASHINGTON (AP) — President in his Wednesday farewell speech to the nation warned that American democracy was sliding into an “oligarchy” of tech billionaires. But what exactly is an oligarchy?

"Elon's No. 1 AI Stock" Set to Soar - Ad

Forget ChatGPT! Because Elon Musk's AI promises to be 100x more powerful. After all, ChatGPT just works online... While Elon's AI works in the real world.

Head of US cybersecurity agency says she hopes it keeps up election work under Trump

NEW YORK (AP) — Jen Easterly, the outgoing head of the U.S. government’s Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, said Wednesday she hopes her agency is allowed to continue its under new leadership despite “contentiousness” around that part of its mission.

Stock Of The Day: Is Oversold Procter & Gamble Set For A Bounce?

The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG) stock is trading higher, signaling a potential new uptrend. Oversold and at support, experts have chosen it as Stock of the Day.

New AI Giant Trading up to 84% Less than Big Tech Stocks -- Set to Soar in 2025? - Ad

THIS is the single biggest money-making idea of my 43 years in the stock market.... And according to my calculations it could generate a fortune for fast-moving investors, who make their move before March 19. The problem is 99% of Americans have no idea this trade even exists. And that's good news for you... Because today you can get started with as little as $50!

Stock market today: Asian stocks follow Wall Street's retreat, oil prices surge

HONG KONG (AP) — Asian stocks retreated on Monday after U.S. stocks fell as raised inflation worries.

Taiwanese chipmaker TSMC posts 57% surge in profit thanks to the AI boom

HONG KONG (AP) — Taiwan computer chip maker TSMC reported Thursday that its profit in the last quarter rose 57%, buoyed by the

The $15.7 Trillion AI Revolution Is Here - Ad

Tech giants like Amazon, Google, and OpenAI are paying BILLIONS to access this critical AI tech.

Southwest Airlines Is Sued By Department Of Transportation Over 'Chronically Delayed' Flights

The Department of Transportation and Department of Justice jointly filed a lawsuit on Wednesday against Southwest Airlines for operating "chronically delayed flights" that caused disruptions to passengers. 

Italy rail asks authorities to investigate outages behind train delays

ROME (AP) — Italy’s national railroad filed a formal complaint with law enforcement authorities Wednesday alleging that power outages up and down the peninsula that have caused days of train delays were suspicious.

Bitcoin Hits $106K: Trump's Next Move Could Trigger $200K - Ad

This rally is no accident -- it's part of Trump's bold vision to make America the "Bitcoin Superpower." Central to Trump's plan is the creation of a National Bitcoin Reserve -- a move that could make the U.S. one of the largest Bitcoin buyers in history, creating massive upward pressure on Bitcoin's price.

XRP Market Value Could Skyrocket 5X If This Trading Pattern Completes, Says Veteran Trader Peter Brandt

Legendary trader Peter Brandt predicted a possible $500 billion market cap for payments-focused cryptocurrency XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) on Monday if certain trading patterns come to fruition.

Litecoin Surges 12% After Analyst Says Altcoin Most Likely To Have Next ETF After Bitcoin, Ethereum

Litecoin (CRYPTO: LTC) surged as one of the market's biggest gainers Thursday after the Nasdaq stock exchange submitted a request to the SEC to list a spot exchange-traded fund tracking the coin's price.

Urgent: Buy This Before Bitcoin Hits $125,000 - Ad

Discover the $25 Bitcoin secret that could turn into a fortune soon. Historically, this secret investment soared by 6,865%, surpassing Bitcoin's own performance. This has nothing to do with buying Bitcoin or any Bitcoin ETFs... You can easily access this secret investment through your standard brokerage account.

What to do with your 401(k) when you retire

For many employees, what to do with a 401(k) plan at retirement has been a foregone conclusion: .

Trump's Treasury Pick Scott Bessent Reveals Up To $500,000 Bitcoin Stake, $521M In Assets

Scott Bessent, President-elect Donald Trump‘s nominee for Treasury Secretary, has disclosed owning between $250,001 and $500,000 in the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (NASDAQ:IBIT), according to financial documents released Saturday by the U.S.

Elon's "Final Move" Could Send This Stock Soaring - Ad

Whenever Elon Musk starts a new venture...Early investors get the opportunity to become millionaires...Early investors in Paypal made as much as 59,500%...SpaceX rose 5,500x in value...And most recently, Tesla jumped over 38,000%!

Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy Not Alone In Bitcoin Acquisition, Says Bitwise Chief Investment Officer: 'It's A Bona Fide Megatrend'

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan argued on Tuesday that associating the Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) Treasury reserve strategy solely with MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR

AI Chip Stocks Gain Momentum On Taiwan Semiconductor Performance; Biden's Semiconductor Sanctions Kick In

AI chip stocks rally on news of Taiwan Semiconductor's upbeat quarterly report and new US regulations on chip exports to China, impacting companies like Nvidia and Apple.

"Boring Trade" Generates $185 Every Day. Like Clockwork. - Ad

Forget cryptos, pot stocks, and other "shiny object" investments. Instead, you could collect an average of $185 every day of the year with this "boring" trade strategy Forbes magazine says is "like finding money in the street."

The Czech Republic ends its energy dependence on Russian oil imports

PRAGUE (AP) — The Czech Republic has boosted its energy security by completing a project to finish the country’s dependence on oil delivery from Russia, the government said on Tuesday.

US lawsuit accuses Pepsi company of price discrimination that favored Walmart over smaller stores

The Federal Trade Commission sued on Friday, alleging that it has engaged in illegal price discrimination by giving unfair price advantages to one large retailer at the expense of other vendors and consumers.

The 10 Stocks to Boom With Trump Back in Office - Ad

I'm not talking about Tesla or Palantir... Trump restarting the Keystone pipeline... Buying some worthless, overhyped crypto... Or anything else you've heard other analysts saying.

German Lufthansa closes deal to acquire 41% of ITA Airways, gaining full control by 2033

ROME (AP) — Germany's Lufthansa Group on Friday finalized its acquisition of Italian airline ITA Airways, closing a long period of uncertainty for Italy’s former flagship carrier.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright trendadvisor.net
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service