Gold Is Being Reintroduced Into the Monetary System

While the media focuses on political scandals, inflation and coming up with ridiculous acronyms "TACO"... Smart money is tracking a far bigger shift: a gold revaluation is quietly underway. Garrett Goggin, CFA, says this could trigger 100X moves in select miners - and he's identified four with the biggest upside.

A healthy US economy's secret ingredient: Immigrant workers, eager to fill jobs

PAUL WISEMAN
April 12, 2024

MIAMI (AP) -- Having fled economic and political chaos in Venezuela, Luisana Silva now loads carpets for a South Carolina rug company. She earns enough to pay rent, buy groceries, gas up her car -- and send money home to her parents.

Reaching the United States was a harrowing ordeal. Silva, 25, her husband and their then-7-year-old daughter braved the treacherous jungles of Panama's Darien Gap, traveled the length of Mexico, crossed the Rio Grande and then turned themselves in to the U.S. Border Patrol in Brownsville, Texas. Seeking asylum, they received a work permit last year and found jobs in Rock Hill, South Carolina.

"My plan is to help my family that much need the money and to grow economically here," Silva said.

Her story amounts to far more than one family's arduous quest for a better life. The millions of jobs that Silva and other new immigrant arrivals have been filling in the United States appear to solve a riddle that has confounded economists for at least a year:

How has the economy managed to prosper, adding hundreds of thousands of jobs, month after month, at a time when the Federal Reserve has aggressively raised interest rates to fight inflation -- normally a recipe for a recession?

Increasingly, the answer appears to be immigrants -- whether living in the United States legally or not. The influx of foreign-born adults vastly raised the supply of available workers after a U.S. labor shortage had left many companies unable to fill jobs.

More workers filling more jobs and spending more money has helped drive economic growth and create still-more job openings. The availability of immigrant workers eased the pressure on companies to sharply raise wages and to then pass on their higher labor costs to their customers via higher prices that feed inflation. Though U.S. inflation remains elevated, it has plummeted from its levels of two years ago.

"There's been something of a mystery -- how are we continuing to get such extraordinary strong job growth with inflation still continuing to come down?'' said Heidi Shierholz, president of the Economic Policy Institute and a former chief economist at the Labor Department. "The immigration numbers being higher than what we had thought -- that really does pretty much solve that puzzle.''

While helping fuel economic growth, immigrants also lie at the heart of an incendiary election-year debate over the control of the nation's Southern border. In his bid to return to the White House, Donald Trump has attacked migrants in often-degrading terms, characterizing them as dangerous criminals who are "poisoning the blood" of America and frequently invoking falsehoods about migration. Trump has vowed to finish building a border wall and to launch the "largest domestic deportation operation in American history." Whether he or President Joe Biden wins the election could determine whether the influx of immigrants, and their key role in propelling the economy, will endure.

The boom in immigration caught almost everyone by surprise. In 2019, the Congressional Budget Office had estimated that net immigration -- arrivals minus departures -- would equal about 1 million in 2023. The actual number, the CBO said in a January update, was more than triple that estimate: 3.3 million.

Thousands of employers desperately needed the new arrivals. The economy -- and consumer spending -- had roared back from the pandemic recession. Companies were struggling to hire enough workers to keep up with customer orders.

The problem was compounded by demographic changes: The number of native-born Americans in their prime working years -- ages 25 to 54 -- was dropping because so many of them had aged out of that category and were nearing or entering retirement. This group's numbers have shrunk by 770,000 since February 2020, just before COVID-19 slammed the economy.

Filling the gap has been a wave of immigrants. Over the past four years, the number of prime-age workers who either have a job or are looking for one has surged by 2.8 million. And nearly all those new labor force entrants -- 2.7 million, or 96% of them -- were born outside the United States. Immigrants last year accounted for a record 18.6% of the labor force, according to the Economic Policy Institute's analysis of government data.

And employers welcomed the help.

Consider Jan Gautam, CEO of the lodging company Interessant Hotels & Resort Management in Orlando, Florida, who said he can't find American-born workers to take jobs cleaning rooms and doing laundry in his 44 hotels. Of Interessant's 3,500 workers, he said, 85% are immigrants.

"Without employees, you are broken," said Gautam, himself an immigrant from India who started working in restaurants as a dishwasher and now owns his own company.

"If you want boost the economy," he said, "it definitely needs to have more immigrants coming out to this country."

Or consider the workforce of the Flood Brothers farm in Maine's "dairy capital'' of Clinton. Foreign-born workers make up fully half the farm's staff of nearly 50, feeding the cows, tending crops and helping collect the milk -- 18,000 gallons each day.

"We cannot do it without them," said Jenni Tilton-Flood, a partner in the operation.

For every unemployed person in Maine, after all, there are two job openings, on average.

"We would not have an economy, in Maine or in the U.S. if we did not have highly skilled labor that comes from outside of this country," Tilton-Flood said in a phone interview with The Associated Press from her farm.

"Without immigrants -- both new asylum-seekers as well as our long-term immigrant contributors -- we would not be able to do the work that we do," she said. "Every single thing that affects the American economy is driven by and will only be saved by accepting immigrant labor."

A study by Wendy Edelberg and Tara Watson, economists at the Brookings Institution's Hamilton Project, has concluded that over the past two years, new immigrants raised the economy's supply of workers and allowed the United States to generate jobs without overheating and accelerating inflation.

In the past, economists typically estimated that America's employers could add no more than 60,000 to 100,000 jobs a month without overheating the economy and igniting inflation. But when Edelberg and Watson included the immigration surge in their calculations, they found that monthly job growth could be roughly twice as high this year -- 160,000 to 200,000 -- without exerting upward pressure on inflation.

"There are significantly more people working in the country," Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last week in a speech at Stanford University. Largely because of the immigrant influx, Powell said, "it's a bigger economy but not a tighter one. Really an unexpected and an unusual thing.''

Trump has repeatedly attacked Biden's immigration policy over the surge in migrants at the Southern border. Only about 27% of the 3.3 million foreigners who entered the United States last year did so through as "lawful permanent residents'' or on temporary visas, according to Edelberg and Watson's analysis. The rest -- 2.4 million -- either came illegally, overstayed their visas, are awaiting immigration court proceedings or are on a parole program that lets them stay temporarily and sometimes work in the country.

"So there you have it,'' Douglas Holtz-Eakin, a former CBO director who is president of the conservative American Action Forum, wrote in February. "The way to solve an inflation crisis is to endure an immigration crisis."

Many economists suggest that immigrants benefit the U.S. economy in several ways. They take generally undesirable, low-paying but essential jobs that most U.S.-born Americans won't, like caring for children, the sick and the elderly. And they can boost the country's innovation and productivity because they are more likely to start their own businesses and obtain patents.

Ernie Tedeschi, a visiting fellow at Georgetown University's Psaros Center and a former Biden economic adviser, calculates that the burst of immigration has accounted for about a fifth of the economy's growth over the past four years.

Critics counter that a surge in immigration can force down pay, particularly for low-income workers, a category that often includes immigrants who have lived in the United States longer. Last month, in the most recent economic report of the president, Biden's advisers acknowledged that "immigration may place downward pressure on the wages of some low-paid workers" but added that most studies show that the impact on the wages of the U.S.-born is "small."

Even Edelberg notes that an unexpected wave of immigrants, like the recent one, can overwhelm state and local governments and saddle them with burdensome costs. A more orderly immigration system, she said, would help.

The recent surge "is a somewhat disruptive way of increasing immigration in the United States," Edelberg said. "I don't think anybody would have sat down and said: 'Let's create optimal immigration policy,' and this is what they would come up with."

Holtz-Eakin argued that an immigration cutoff of the kind Trump has vowed to impose, if elected, would result in "much, much slower labor force growth and a return to the sharp tradeoff'' between containing inflation and maintaining economic growth that the United States has so far managed to avoid.

For now, millions of job vacancies are being filled by immigrants like Mariel Marrero. A political opponent of Venezuela's authoritarian President Nicolás Maduro, Marrero, 32, fled her homeland in 2016 after receiving death threats. She lived in Panama and El Salvador before crossing the U.S. border and applying for asylum.

Her case pending, she received authorization to work in the United States last July. Marrero, who used to work in the archives of the Venezuelan Congress in Caracas, found work selling telephones and then as a sales clerk at a convenience store owned by Venezuelan immigrants.

At first, she lived for free at the house of an uncle. But now she earns enough to pay rent on a two-bedroom house she shares with three other Venezuelans in Doral, Florida, a Miami suburb with a large Venezuelan community. After rent, food, electricity and gasoline, she has enough left over to send $200 a month to her family in Venezuela.

"One hundred percent -- this country gives you opportunities,'' she said.

Marrero has her own American dream:

"I imagine having my own company, my house, helping my family in a more comfortable way."

___

Wiseman and Rugaber reported from Washington, Salomon from Miami.

Continue Reading...

Popular

Canada's prime minister and Alberta's premier sign pipeline deal that could reverse oil tanker ban

TORONTO (AP) — and the premier of Canada’s oil rich province of Alberta agreed Thursday to work toward building a pipeline to the Pacific Coast to diversify the country’s oil exports beyond the United States, in a move that has caused turmoil in Carney's inner circle.

Weiss Gold Veteran Makes Shocking New Call - Ad

Weiss expert Sean Brodrick went out on a limb last year and declared a historic event would send the yellow metal to $3,150. People laughed at him at the time, but he was off by just two days. Now, Sean has a shocking new prediction for gold ... and reveals a little-known way to get ahead of this bull market.

Crypto Billionaire Justin Sun Says He Will Donate To Help Victims Of Deadly Fire In Hong Kong, Binance Announces $1.3 Million Support

Tron (CRYPTO: TRX) founder and cryptocurrency billionaire Justin Sun pledged his support for the victims of the devastating Hong Kong fire, promising a donation to aid recovery efforts.

Elon's New Device Could Launch Biggest IPO of the Decade - Ad

Elon Musk's new device is being called a "game-changer"-and even the White House is using this tech. Jeff Brown says it could launch Musk's next trillion-dollar company and make early investors rich. You can claim a stake now for as little as $500.

Marjorie Taylor Greene Goes Bargain Shopping, Discloses Buying These Two Stocks At 52-Week Lows

Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene disclosed some new stocks recently. Unlike past trades in 2024 and 2025, the latest disclosure is rather unique.

Trump attacks ABC News correspondent Mary Bruce in angry response to three sharp questions

NEW YORK (AP) — President Donald Trump denounced ABC News' Mary Bruce as a “terrible reporter” Tuesday and threatened the network's license to broadcast after she asked him three sharp questions at the White House.

85% Off Proven Crypto Timing Model - This Weekend Only! - Ad

Juan Villaverde's crypto timing model has called every major market turn since 2012. It's now signaling the next big move, and he believes these coins could have big upside. With the market at a critical moment, you can access his latest signals this weekend for just $19.

Robert A.M. Stern, noted American architect, dies at 86

Acclaimed architect Robert A.M. Stern, a prominent figure in American architecture who designed notable museums, libraries and residences, died Thursday, according to a statement from the firm he founded. He was 86.

Is Elon's Empire Crumbling? - Ad

Jeff Brown - the legend who called Tesla and Nvidia early - says Elon is about to launch a $25T AI revolution. This isn't another chatbot. It's real-world AI that could 14X the impact of ChatGPT. But after January 29, it may be too late.

JPMorgan Forecasts Bitcoin Bottom, Anticipates $28.3 Trillion Challenge To Gold By 2026

Analysts at JPMorgan have pinpointed the lowest point of the ongoing Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price fall and also projected a substantial chall

Cocoa Melts To 2-Year Lows — Just In Time For Hot Chocolate Season

Cocoa futures have dropped to a 2-year low, providing a rare advantage for chocolate manufacturers like Hershey, Mondelez, Nestle.

"Tech Prophet" Who Predicted the iPhone Now Predicts... - Ad

George Gilder - who predicted the iPhone 17 years early and gave Reagan the first microchip - is making his boldest call yet. He says an American nanotech "super-convergence" could mint more millionaires than any event in recent memory. He's found 3 stocks set to benefit the most.

Trump Confirms One Of The National Guard Members Ambushed Near White House Has Died After 'Terrorist Attack'

Trump said a National Guard member died after Afghan national opened fire near White House. Trump blames immigration vetting failures, orders review.

Trump Withdraws Support For 'Wacky' Marjorie Taylor Greene In Sudden, Fiery Split: 'I Can't Take...'

President Donald Trump said he is withdrawing his endorsement of longtime ally Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene — here's what happened.

Trump Issues Surprise Emergency Order - Ad

A new Trump emergency order just took effect. It could reset the U.S. economy, impact 65M Americans, and trigger a major wealth shift tied to a $257T force Buffett called the greatest transfer of wealth. Billionaires are already positioned. If you want in, time is short.

Cathie Wood Bets Big On These Stocks As Bitcoin, Ethereum Crash —Dumps Instagram Rival

On Tuesday, Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest made significant trades, notably increasing its holdings in Bullish (NYSE:BLSH), Coinbase Glo

Marc Andreessen Says AI Will Become Your 'Coach, Mentor, Therapist'

Venture capitalist Marc Andreessen says AI is "the most democratic" technology and its full potential emerges when users treat it as a strategic "thought partner."

Is Nvidia About to Spark Another 150X Opportunity This Black Friday? - Ad

Nvidia once handed investors the chance to make 150X on its breakthrough AI chips. Now, legendary investor Louis Navellier says a new invention-perfectly timed for Black Friday-could be even bigger.

Pichai Says Quantum Is Where 'AI Was 5 Years Ago' — Are Quantum Stocks The Next Moonshot Trade?

Google CEO Sundar Pichai predicts that quantum computing will be as big as AI in 5 years, signaling the start of a new investment wave.

Trump Signs Law to Launch Dollar 2.0 - Ad

Trump just signed law S.1582, unleashing the biggest money shift in 100+ years. For the first time since 1913, private firms - not the Fed - can mint a "Dollar 2.0." Treasury says it could drain $6.6T from banks and pay 10X current savings rates. Early investors in minting firms could see 40X returns by 2032.

Shareholders of Union Pacific, Norfolk Southern support $85 billion rail merger

OMAHA, Neb. (AP) — Shareholders of Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern backed the railroads’ to create the nation’s first coast-to-coast rail network.

Trump Barred From Deploying Oregon National Guard To Portland, Judge Cites State Sovereignty

A federal judge handed down a decisive ruling on Friday, blocking Trump's attempt to send Oregon's National Guard to Portland.

Legally "Skim" $6,361 Into Your Account? - Ad

A former hedge fund manager is now sharing his "Skim Codes" with regular people. They're not stocks. They're not crypto. They're 18-character codes designed to profit from recent market conditions. All you have to do is punch them into an ordinary brokerage account. 84% of these codes have given people the chance to generate cash payouts so far... and his next code is going out any day now.

Donald Trump Fueled Bitcoin's Rise Beyond $100,000 — Can BTC Survive His 2028 Exit?

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) may face its biggest political stress test yet in 2028 when President Donald Trump leaves office and the pro-crypto admin

Furor over editing of Trump speech sparks 'existential crisis' at the BBC

LONDON (AP) — The of two top bosses over the editing of a speech by U.S. President Donald Trump dealt a huge blow to the broadcaster, which is revered by some in Britain as a national treasure but derided by others as outdated and left-leaning.

Gold Is Being Reintroduced Into the Monetary System - Ad

While the media focuses on political scandals, inflation and coming up with ridiculous acronyms "TACO"... Smart money is tracking a far bigger shift: a gold revaluation is quietly underway. Garrett Goggin, CFA, says this could trigger 100X moves in select miners - and he's identified four with the biggest upside.

Investigators look into 'repeating bell' heard during takeoff of UPS cargo plane that crashed

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) — A repeating bell sounded in the cockpit for 25 seconds as pilots tried to control a UPS cargo plane that caught fire, had an engine fall off and this week in Louisville, Kentucky, a National Transportation Safety Board member said Friday.

TSMC Chief CC Wei Says Nvidia CEO 'Wants More Chips' As Jensen Huang Enjoys Hotpot In Taipei And Praises The Taiwanese Foundry: 'No TSMC, No Nvidia'

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang praised TSMC as vital to his company's success during his Taiwan visit, where he met TSMC chief CC Wei over hotpot and reportedly requested more chips amid surging AI demand and U.S. export restrictions.

Weiss Gold Veteran Makes Shocking New Call - Ad

Weiss expert Sean Brodrick went out on a limb last year and declared a historic event would send the yellow metal to $3,150. People laughed at him at the time, but he was off by just two days. Now, Sean has a shocking new prediction for gold ... and reveals a little-known way to get ahead of this bull market.

Why Is Sigma Lithium Stock Gaining Friday?

Sigma Lithium posts Q3 revenue of $28.5M, EPS loss narrows to 10 cents, as sales volumes rise 21% and lithium prices jump 33% Q/Q.

Elon's New Device Could Launch Biggest IPO of the Decade - Ad

Elon Musk's new device is being called a "game-changer"-and even the White House is using this tech. Jeff Brown says it could launch Musk's next trillion-dollar company and make early investors rich. You can claim a stake now for as little as $500.

Trump Administration Wins Temporary Supreme Court Reprieve In Fight Over Billions In SNAP Payments For 42 Million Americans

The Supreme Court temporarily froze a lower court ruling that had compelled the Trump administration to immediately provide full federal food benefits to roughly 42 million Americans.

Harvard University Increased Its Bitcoin IBIT Stake By 257% In Q3: 'As Good A Validation As An ETF Can Get'

Harvard University significantly increased its stake in the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF, according to the latest 13F filing released on Friday.

85% Off Proven Crypto Timing Model - This Weekend Only! - Ad

Juan Villaverde's crypto timing model has called every major market turn since 2012. It's now signaling the next big move, and he believes these coins could have big upside. With the market at a critical moment, you can access his latest signals this weekend for just $19.

Trump Wants Washington Commanders' $3.7 Billion Stadium Named After Him: Report

President Donald Trump is seeking to have the Washington Commanders' new $3.7 billion stadium named after him.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright trendadvisor.net
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service