$270,000 Drug. One Competitor. Billion-Dollar Market.

Phase 3 trial targets recurrent pericarditis with an oral therapy that could disrupt the only approved treatment. And their heart failure program launches in 2026.

A healthy US economy's secret ingredient: Immigrant workers, eager to fill jobs

PAUL WISEMAN
April 12, 2024

MIAMI (AP) -- Having fled economic and political chaos in Venezuela, Luisana Silva now loads carpets for a South Carolina rug company. She earns enough to pay rent, buy groceries, gas up her car -- and send money home to her parents.

Reaching the United States was a harrowing ordeal. Silva, 25, her husband and their then-7-year-old daughter braved the treacherous jungles of Panama's Darien Gap, traveled the length of Mexico, crossed the Rio Grande and then turned themselves in to the U.S. Border Patrol in Brownsville, Texas. Seeking asylum, they received a work permit last year and found jobs in Rock Hill, South Carolina.

"My plan is to help my family that much need the money and to grow economically here," Silva said.

Her story amounts to far more than one family's arduous quest for a better life. The millions of jobs that Silva and other new immigrant arrivals have been filling in the United States appear to solve a riddle that has confounded economists for at least a year:

How has the economy managed to prosper, adding hundreds of thousands of jobs, month after month, at a time when the Federal Reserve has aggressively raised interest rates to fight inflation -- normally a recipe for a recession?

Increasingly, the answer appears to be immigrants -- whether living in the United States legally or not. The influx of foreign-born adults vastly raised the supply of available workers after a U.S. labor shortage had left many companies unable to fill jobs.

More workers filling more jobs and spending more money has helped drive economic growth and create still-more job openings. The availability of immigrant workers eased the pressure on companies to sharply raise wages and to then pass on their higher labor costs to their customers via higher prices that feed inflation. Though U.S. inflation remains elevated, it has plummeted from its levels of two years ago.

"There's been something of a mystery -- how are we continuing to get such extraordinary strong job growth with inflation still continuing to come down?'' said Heidi Shierholz, president of the Economic Policy Institute and a former chief economist at the Labor Department. "The immigration numbers being higher than what we had thought -- that really does pretty much solve that puzzle.''

While helping fuel economic growth, immigrants also lie at the heart of an incendiary election-year debate over the control of the nation's Southern border. In his bid to return to the White House, Donald Trump has attacked migrants in often-degrading terms, characterizing them as dangerous criminals who are "poisoning the blood" of America and frequently invoking falsehoods about migration. Trump has vowed to finish building a border wall and to launch the "largest domestic deportation operation in American history." Whether he or President Joe Biden wins the election could determine whether the influx of immigrants, and their key role in propelling the economy, will endure.

The boom in immigration caught almost everyone by surprise. In 2019, the Congressional Budget Office had estimated that net immigration -- arrivals minus departures -- would equal about 1 million in 2023. The actual number, the CBO said in a January update, was more than triple that estimate: 3.3 million.

Thousands of employers desperately needed the new arrivals. The economy -- and consumer spending -- had roared back from the pandemic recession. Companies were struggling to hire enough workers to keep up with customer orders.

The problem was compounded by demographic changes: The number of native-born Americans in their prime working years -- ages 25 to 54 -- was dropping because so many of them had aged out of that category and were nearing or entering retirement. This group's numbers have shrunk by 770,000 since February 2020, just before COVID-19 slammed the economy.

Filling the gap has been a wave of immigrants. Over the past four years, the number of prime-age workers who either have a job or are looking for one has surged by 2.8 million. And nearly all those new labor force entrants -- 2.7 million, or 96% of them -- were born outside the United States. Immigrants last year accounted for a record 18.6% of the labor force, according to the Economic Policy Institute's analysis of government data.

And employers welcomed the help.

Consider Jan Gautam, CEO of the lodging company Interessant Hotels & Resort Management in Orlando, Florida, who said he can't find American-born workers to take jobs cleaning rooms and doing laundry in his 44 hotels. Of Interessant's 3,500 workers, he said, 85% are immigrants.

"Without employees, you are broken," said Gautam, himself an immigrant from India who started working in restaurants as a dishwasher and now owns his own company.

"If you want boost the economy," he said, "it definitely needs to have more immigrants coming out to this country."

Or consider the workforce of the Flood Brothers farm in Maine's "dairy capital'' of Clinton. Foreign-born workers make up fully half the farm's staff of nearly 50, feeding the cows, tending crops and helping collect the milk -- 18,000 gallons each day.

"We cannot do it without them," said Jenni Tilton-Flood, a partner in the operation.

For every unemployed person in Maine, after all, there are two job openings, on average.

"We would not have an economy, in Maine or in the U.S. if we did not have highly skilled labor that comes from outside of this country," Tilton-Flood said in a phone interview with The Associated Press from her farm.

"Without immigrants -- both new asylum-seekers as well as our long-term immigrant contributors -- we would not be able to do the work that we do," she said. "Every single thing that affects the American economy is driven by and will only be saved by accepting immigrant labor."

A study by Wendy Edelberg and Tara Watson, economists at the Brookings Institution's Hamilton Project, has concluded that over the past two years, new immigrants raised the economy's supply of workers and allowed the United States to generate jobs without overheating and accelerating inflation.

In the past, economists typically estimated that America's employers could add no more than 60,000 to 100,000 jobs a month without overheating the economy and igniting inflation. But when Edelberg and Watson included the immigration surge in their calculations, they found that monthly job growth could be roughly twice as high this year -- 160,000 to 200,000 -- without exerting upward pressure on inflation.

"There are significantly more people working in the country," Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last week in a speech at Stanford University. Largely because of the immigrant influx, Powell said, "it's a bigger economy but not a tighter one. Really an unexpected and an unusual thing.''

Trump has repeatedly attacked Biden's immigration policy over the surge in migrants at the Southern border. Only about 27% of the 3.3 million foreigners who entered the United States last year did so through as "lawful permanent residents'' or on temporary visas, according to Edelberg and Watson's analysis. The rest -- 2.4 million -- either came illegally, overstayed their visas, are awaiting immigration court proceedings or are on a parole program that lets them stay temporarily and sometimes work in the country.

"So there you have it,'' Douglas Holtz-Eakin, a former CBO director who is president of the conservative American Action Forum, wrote in February. "The way to solve an inflation crisis is to endure an immigration crisis."

Many economists suggest that immigrants benefit the U.S. economy in several ways. They take generally undesirable, low-paying but essential jobs that most U.S.-born Americans won't, like caring for children, the sick and the elderly. And they can boost the country's innovation and productivity because they are more likely to start their own businesses and obtain patents.

Ernie Tedeschi, a visiting fellow at Georgetown University's Psaros Center and a former Biden economic adviser, calculates that the burst of immigration has accounted for about a fifth of the economy's growth over the past four years.

Critics counter that a surge in immigration can force down pay, particularly for low-income workers, a category that often includes immigrants who have lived in the United States longer. Last month, in the most recent economic report of the president, Biden's advisers acknowledged that "immigration may place downward pressure on the wages of some low-paid workers" but added that most studies show that the impact on the wages of the U.S.-born is "small."

Even Edelberg notes that an unexpected wave of immigrants, like the recent one, can overwhelm state and local governments and saddle them with burdensome costs. A more orderly immigration system, she said, would help.

The recent surge "is a somewhat disruptive way of increasing immigration in the United States," Edelberg said. "I don't think anybody would have sat down and said: 'Let's create optimal immigration policy,' and this is what they would come up with."

Holtz-Eakin argued that an immigration cutoff of the kind Trump has vowed to impose, if elected, would result in "much, much slower labor force growth and a return to the sharp tradeoff'' between containing inflation and maintaining economic growth that the United States has so far managed to avoid.

For now, millions of job vacancies are being filled by immigrants like Mariel Marrero. A political opponent of Venezuela's authoritarian President Nicolás Maduro, Marrero, 32, fled her homeland in 2016 after receiving death threats. She lived in Panama and El Salvador before crossing the U.S. border and applying for asylum.

Her case pending, she received authorization to work in the United States last July. Marrero, who used to work in the archives of the Venezuelan Congress in Caracas, found work selling telephones and then as a sales clerk at a convenience store owned by Venezuelan immigrants.

At first, she lived for free at the house of an uncle. But now she earns enough to pay rent on a two-bedroom house she shares with three other Venezuelans in Doral, Florida, a Miami suburb with a large Venezuelan community. After rent, food, electricity and gasoline, she has enough left over to send $200 a month to her family in Venezuela.

"One hundred percent -- this country gives you opportunities,'' she said.

Marrero has her own American dream:

"I imagine having my own company, my house, helping my family in a more comfortable way."

___

Wiseman and Rugaber reported from Washington, Salomon from Miami.

Continue Reading...

Popular

Space forecasters say severe solar storms could hit Earth and trigger auroras

NEW YORK (AP) — Space weather forecasters issued an alert on Tuesday for incoming severe that could produce and temporarily disrupt communications.

Velo3D Stock Soars After Q3 Earnings: Highlights From The Report

Shares of Velo3D, Inc. (NASDAQ:VELO) are rising Tuesday after the metal 3D printing company reported third-quarter earnings results.

Investing Legend Hints the End May Be Near for These 3 Iconic Stocks - Ad

Futurist Eric Fry say Amazon, Tesla and Nvidia are all on the verge of major disruption. To help protect anyone with money invested in them, he's sharing three exciting stocks to replace them with. He gives away the names and tickers completely free in his brand-new "Sell This, Buy That" broadcast.

Elizabeth Warren Calls Trump 'Most Corrupt President' Citing Memecoin, Multi-Million CEO Dinners And Tax Cuts For Billionaires

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) on Sunday called President Donald Trump’s tenure the “most corrupt” in America’s history, criticizing his involvement in cryptocurrency ventures, meetings with leading industry figures, and other decisions.

Legally "Skim" $6,361 Into Your Account? - Ad

A former hedge fund manager is now sharing his "Skim Codes" with regular people. They're not stocks. They're not crypto. They're 18-character codes designed to profit from recent market conditions. All you have to do is punch them into an ordinary brokerage account. 84% of these codes have given people the chance to generate cash payouts so far... and his next code is going out any day now.

Trump attacks ABC News correspondent Mary Bruce in angry response to three sharp questions

NEW YORK (AP) — President Donald Trump denounced ABC News' Mary Bruce as a “terrible reporter” Tuesday and threatened the network's license to broadcast after she asked him three sharp questions at the White House.

Here's why everyone's talking about a 'K-shaped' economy

WASHINGTON (AP) — From corporate executives to Wall Street analysts to Federal Reserve officials, references to the “K-shaped economy” are rapidly proliferating.

The Smart Money Copper Trade - Ad

Only one lines up grade, scale potential, and Quebec power like this. Insider alignment is real. Stepouts are opening new zones. With EVs and grid buildouts rising, this could be the timely copper idea you have been waiting for.

Resilient in face of Trump tariffs, world economy is forecast to grow 3.2% this year, OECD says

WASHINGTON (AP) — The world economy has proven surprisingly durable in the face of President Donald Trump’s trade wars, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said Tuesday, upgrading its outlook for global and U.S. economic growth this year.

The $43B Big Pharma Story is Starting Over-With a New Player - Ad

Big Pharma once paid $43B for a small biotech with a similar platform. Now, a new company is following that same playbook, leveraging its patented delivery technology to attract partnerships and near-term revenue potential.

US futures slip and Asian stocks are mixed, while oil prices surge more than $1 a barrel

BANGKOK (AP) — Asian shares began the week mixed, with Tokyo’s benchmark falling nearly 2% on Monday after the release of data showing weak factory activity, while U.S. futures fell.

Copper Is Tight, Silver Is Rising - And This Early Nevada Play Hits the Timing Perfectly - Ad

AI, electrification, battery storage, and data centers are pushing copper and silver demand sharply higher, even as supply stays tight. This region in Nevada offers rare multi-metal potential, and a new company has secured land in a district the surging district. It's one of the cleanest timing setups in the sector right now.

Scaramucci Says This One US Mistake Helped China Become a Manufacturing Superpower

Anthony Scaramucci recently highlighted what he considers a significant error by the US that enabled China to ascend as a manufacturing superpower.

Inside: What's Going on Behind the Scenes in DC? - Ad

Former CIA officer Buck Sexton just met with Trump and VP J.D. Vance - and what he uncovered inside the West Wing is stunning. With ties to Tulsi Gabbard, Mike Johnson, Kash Patel, and more, he's rushing this urgent interview to reveal shocking secrets unfolding behind the scenes right now.

Analyst Sees Strong Medtronic Momentum Through 2026 With Buy Rating Intact

BofA expects Medtronic to post over 5% second-quarter revenue growth and maintain strong momentum through 2026, driven by robust procedure trends.

Silver Soars To Record Highs: It's Up 95% In 2025, The Best Year Since 1979

Silver prices surge over 5% as investors rush to secure metal amid tight supplies and global shortage concerns, driving up stocks and mining equities.

The Next Biggest Bull Run In Over 50 Years - Ad

Gold has hit all-time highs, breaking $4,000 an ounce - but history shows it could be on the verge of its biggest bull run in over half a century... triggered by a likely major event, eerily similar to what happened in the 1970s. (It's NOT inflation or anything you're likely expecting.) Now, a top analyst says you can capture ALL of the upside without touching a risky miner or a boring exchange-traded fund. He sees extraordinary potential gains long term with very little risk.

Iran confirms seizure of oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz

TEHRAN, Iran (AP) — Iran on Saturday confirmed as it traveled through the narrow Strait of Hormuz over violations including carrying an illegal consignment, state media reported.

Trump Signs Law to Launch Dollar 2.0 - Ad

Trump just signed law S.1582, unleashing the biggest money shift in 100+ years. For the first time since 1913, private firms - not the Fed - can mint a "Dollar 2.0." Treasury says it could drain $6.6T from banks and pay 10X current savings rates. Early investors in minting firms could see 40X returns by 2032.

New York advances casinos at a Bronx golf course and near Mets stadium

NEW YORK (AP) — Casinos proposed for a golf course in the Bronx and next to the New York Mets’ ballpark are poised to cash in on a for the New York City area.

AT&T reached a $177M data breach settlement. What consumers should know about claiming their money

NEW YORK (AP) — AT&T has reached a combined $177 million settlement over two . And impacted consumers have a little over a month left to file a claim for their chunk of the money.

Weiss Gold Veteran Makes Shocking New Call - Ad

Weiss expert Sean Brodrick went out on a limb last year and declared a historic event would send the yellow metal to $3,150. People laughed at him at the time, but he was off by just two days. Now, Sean has a shocking new prediction for gold ... and reveals a little-known way to get ahead of this bull market.

Cathie Wood Bets Big On These Stocks As Bitcoin, Ethereum Crash —Dumps Instagram Rival

On Tuesday, Cathie Wood-led Ark Invest made significant trades, notably increasing its holdings in Bullish (NYSE:BLSH), Coinbase Glo

$270,000 Drug. One Competitor. Billion-Dollar Market. - Ad

Phase 3 trial targets recurrent pericarditis with an oral therapy that could disrupt the only approved treatment. And their heart failure program launches in 2026.

Barrick's Breakup Rumors, North America Versus The World

Barrick Mining (NYSE: B) may split into two companies, one focused on North America and another on Africa and Asia.

A lost generation of news consumers? Survey shows how teenagers dislike the news media

NEW YORK (AP) — Cat Murphy, a college student, has wanted to be a journalist since she was 11. Many of her friends don't understand why.

Investing Legend Hints the End May Be Near for These 3 Iconic Stocks - Ad

Futurist Eric Fry say Amazon, Tesla and Nvidia are all on the verge of major disruption. To help protect anyone with money invested in them, he's sharing three exciting stocks to replace them with. He gives away the names and tickers completely free in his brand-new "Sell This, Buy That" broadcast.

Movie Review: Time has outrun this 'Running Man'

It’s always interesting when time overtakes the dystopias of the past. In 1982 novel “The Running Man,” the United States has fallen into a totalitarian state, divided between haves and have-nots, where all movements can be surveilled and realistic video propaganda is easily generated. King’s book was set in the year 2025.

Elon Musk Says He Doesn't Buy Stocks, But Thinks Google Will Be 'Pretty Valuable' In The Future And Nvidia's An 'Obvious' One

Elon Musk says he doesn't invest in stocks but believes Google and Nvidia are best positioned to dominate the future economy through AI, robotics, and space, while both companies continue to post strong earnings and market gains.

Legally "Skim" $6,361 Into Your Account? - Ad

A former hedge fund manager is now sharing his "Skim Codes" with regular people. They're not stocks. They're not crypto. They're 18-character codes designed to profit from recent market conditions. All you have to do is punch them into an ordinary brokerage account. 84% of these codes have given people the chance to generate cash payouts so far... and his next code is going out any day now.

Warren Buffett Initiates Alphabet Position, Trims Apple In Q3 — Here Are Berkshire's Moves

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway took a new stake in a member of the Magnificent Seven, while lowering its stake in Apple in the third quarter.

The Smart Money Copper Trade - Ad

Only one lines up grade, scale potential, and Quebec power like this. Insider alignment is real. Stepouts are opening new zones. With EVs and grid buildouts rising, this could be the timely copper idea you have been waiting for.

DOJ Greenlights Strikes on Drug Boats, Citing Fentanyl as Potential Chemical Weapon

The DOJ has classified Fentanyl as a potential chemical weapon. This classification has led to the authorization of strikes on drug-smuggling boats.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright trendadvisor.net
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service