Trump's $5.3 Trillion "Manhattan Project"

Trump just launched a $5.3T AI-powered missile shield-America's modern "Manhattan Project." While defense giants scramble, one tiny firm is already 40x smaller than Lockheed... yet leads anti-drone tech in 300+ defense programs. With $1.3B in contracts, this stock could soar.

A healthy US economy's secret ingredient: Immigrant workers, eager to fill jobs

PAUL WISEMAN
April 12, 2024

MIAMI (AP) -- Having fled economic and political chaos in Venezuela, Luisana Silva now loads carpets for a South Carolina rug company. She earns enough to pay rent, buy groceries, gas up her car -- and send money home to her parents.

Reaching the United States was a harrowing ordeal. Silva, 25, her husband and their then-7-year-old daughter braved the jungles of Panama's Darien Gap, traveled the length of Mexico, crossed the Rio Grande and then themselves in to the U.S. Border Patrol in Brownsville, Texas. Seeking asylum, they received a work permit last year and found jobs in Rock Hill, South Carolina.

"My plan is to help my family that much need the money and to grow economically here," Silva said.

Her story amounts to far more than one family's arduous quest for a better life. The millions of jobs that Silva and other new immigrant arrivals have been filling in the United States appear to solve a riddle that has confounded economists for at least a year:

How has the economy managed to prosper, adding hundreds of thousands of jobs, month after month, at a time when the Federal Reserve has aggressively raised interest rates to fight inflation -- normally a recipe for a recession?

Increasingly, the answer appears to be immigrants. The influx of foreign-born adults vastly raised the supply of available workers after a U.S. labor shortage had left many companies unable to fill jobs.

More workers filling more jobs and spending more money has helped drive economic growth and create still-more job openings. The availability of immigrant workers eased the pressure on companies to sharply raise wages and to then pass on their higher labor costs via higher prices that feed inflation. Though U.S. inflation remains elevated, it has plummeted from its levels of two years ago.

"There's been something of a mystery -- how are we continuing to get such extraordinary strong job growth with inflation still continuing to come down?'' said Heidi Shierholz, president of the Economic Policy Institute. "The immigration numbers being higher than what we had thought -- that really does pretty much solve that puzzle.''

While helping fuel economic growth, immigrants also lie at the heart of an incendiary election-year debate over the control of the nation's Southern border. In his bid to return to the White House, Donald Trump has vowed to finish building a border wall and to launch the "largest domestic deportation operation in American history." Whether he or President Joe Biden wins the election could determine whether the influx of immigrants, and their key role in propelling the economy, will endure.

The immigration boom was a surprise. In 2019, the Congressional Budget Office had estimated that net immigration -- arrivals minus departures -- would equal about 1 million in 2023. The actual number, the CBO said in a January update, was 3.3 million.

Thousands of employers desperately needed the new arrivals. The number of native-born Americans in their prime working years -- ages 25 to 54 -- was dropping because so many of them had aged out of that category and were nearing or entering retirement. Their numbers have shrunk by 770,000 since February 2020, just before COVID-19 slammed the economy.

Filling the gap has been a wave of immigrants. Over the past four years, the number of prime-age workers who either have a job or are looking for one has surged by 2.8 million. And nearly all those newcomers -- 2.7 million, or 96% of them -- were born outside the United States.

At the Flood Brothers farm in Maine's "dairy capital'' of Clinton, foreign-born workers make up half the staff of nearly 50, feeding the cows, tending crops and helping collect the milk.

"We cannot do it without them," said Jenni Tilton-Flood, a partner in the operation.

For every unemployed person in Maine, after all, there are two job openings, on average.

A study by Wendy Edelberg and Tara Watson of the Brookings Institution found that new immigrants raised the economy's supply of workers and allowed the United States to generate jobs without overheating and accelerating inflation.

In the past, economists typically estimated that America's employers could add no more than 60,000 to 100,000 jobs a month without overheating the economy and igniting inflation. But when Edelberg and Watson included the immigration surge in their calculations, they found that monthly job growth could be roughly twice as high this year -- 160,000 to 200,000 -- without exerting upward pressure on inflation.

Trump has repeatedly attacked Biden's immigration policy over the surge in migrants at the Southern border. Only about 27% of the 3.3 million foreigners who entered the United States last year did so through as "lawful permanent residents'' or on temporary visas, according to Edelberg and Watson's analysis. The rest -- 2.4 million -- either came illegally, overstayed their visas, are awaiting immigration court proceedings or are on a parole program that lets them stay temporarily in the country.

"So there you have it,'' Douglas Holtz-Eakin, president of the conservative American Action Forum, said. "The way to solve an inflation crisis is to endure an immigration crisis."

Many economists suggest that immigrants benefit the U.S. economy. They take low-paying but essential jobs that most U.S.-born Americans won't, like caring for the sick and the elderly. And they can make the country more innovative because they are more likely to start businesses and obtain patents.

Critics counter that a surge in immigration can force down pay, particularly for low-income workers. Last month, in the most recent economic report of the president, Biden's advisers acknowledged that "immigration may place downward pressure on the wages of some low-paid workers" but added that most studies show that the impact on the wages of the U.S.-born is "small."

Holtz-Eakin argued that an immigration cutoff of the kind Trump has vowed to impose, if elected, would result in "much, much slower labor force growth and a return to the sharp tradeoff'' between containing inflation and maintaining economic growth that the United States has so far managed to avoid.

___

Wiseman and Rugaber reported from Washington, Salomon from Miami.

Continue Reading...

Popular

Kyndryl Wins Wall Street Support As 'Triple A' Plan Fixes Profits After IBM Split: Analyst

Guggenheim analyst initiates coverage on Kyndryl with a Buy rating and a price forecast of $30. Kyndryl has executed a successful turnaround strategy and is well-positioned to gain share in the growing IT infrastructure services market. Guggenheim analyst initiates coverage on Kyndryl with a Buy rating and $30 price target. Kyndryl has executed a successful turnaround strategy and is well-positioned in the growing IT infrastructure services market.

Marjorie Taylor Greene Buys Blue Chip Stock Near 52-Week Low

Marjorie Taylor Greene is known for buying multiple stocks at a time, based on recent disclosures. A new filing shows one stock bought in November.

Elon's Optimus to Mint New "Musk Millionaires" as Soon as Jan 26? - Ad

Elon Musk may be set to create more "Musk Millionaires" as soon as January 26... Because on that day, he's expected to officially launch his Optimus robot... An AI-powered robot that Elon himself says will be capable of "doing anything bar nothing". Now, it's important to point out that Elon hasn't released it to the public yet... But ahead of the launch, one Silicon Valley insider has identified a "backdoor way" for any American to invest in Optimus with a regular brokerage account...

Trump's $2,000 Tariff Dividend Stumbles On Math: Cost Far Exceeds Revenue

Trump's $2,000 tariff rebate plan faces a major math gap, with estimated costs up to $606.8B—far exceeding tariff revenues in 2025 and 2026, says the Tax Foundation.

Google Taps Billionaire Adani For $5 Billion 'Power Play' to Fuel New AI Center

Adani Group, led by billionaire Gautam Adani, plans to invest up to $5 billion in Google's upcoming AI infrastructure hub in southern India.

Is Elon's Empire Crumbling? - Ad

Jeff Brown - the legend who called Tesla and Nvidia early - says Elon is about to launch a $25T AI revolution. This isn't another chatbot. It's real-world AI that could 14X the impact of ChatGPT. But after January 29, it may be too late.

Trump attacks ABC News correspondent Mary Bruce in angry response to three sharp questions

NEW YORK (AP) — President Donald Trump denounced ABC News' Mary Bruce as a “terrible reporter” Tuesday and threatened the network's license to broadcast after she asked him three sharp questions at the White House.

Weiss Gold Veteran Makes Shocking New Call - Ad

Weiss expert Sean Brodrick went out on a limb last year and declared a historic event would send the yellow metal to $3,150. People laughed at him at the time, but he was off by just two days. Now, Sean has a shocking new prediction for gold ... and reveals a little-known way to get ahead of this bull market.

Sweden promises action against illegal sex doll sales

BERLIN (AP) — The Swedish government promised on Friday to fight the sale of childlike sex dolls online after instances of such commerce had been reported earlier in the country.

Biogen, Eisai File In Japan To Make Leqembi A Weekly At-Home Alzheimer's Shot

Eisai files for Japan approval of a weekly at-home Leqembi injection, offering an alternative to IV dosing and aiming to streamline Alzheimer's care.

Time to Say Goodbye to "Old" Dollar? Say Hello to "Trump's New Dollar" - Ad

If you have any money in U.S. dollars... learn how to prepare for "Trump's new dollar"... Because this could be the biggest change to our financial system in 54 years. President Trump even called it: "The greatest revolution in financial technology since the birth of the internet itself."

Trump Says US Could 'Completely' Or 'Substantially' Cut Income Tax Over Couple Of Years Thanks To 'Large' Tariff Revenues

President Donald Trump hinted at a sweeping shift in U.S. federal tax policy, suggesting that the massive tariff revenues that the government is earning could go towards offering significant relief for low and middle-income taxpayers.

Trump Triggered 70% Gains Overnight -- This Rare Earths Stock Could Be Next - Ad

Trump's turning tiny mining stocks into overnight fortunes... and this little-known rare earths miner could be his next billion-dollar BUY. If Trump cuts a deal you could see a 50% to 200% pop overnight. But you must act before the next deal hits the wire.

Trump Withdraws Support For 'Wacky' Marjorie Taylor Greene In Sudden, Fiery Split: 'I Can't Take...'

President Donald Trump said he is withdrawing his endorsement of longtime ally Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene — here's what happened.

Trump Pressures Taiwan To Train US Workers As TSMC Struggles In Arizona: Report

The Trump administration is reportedly pressing Taiwan, including TSMC, to invest more in U.S. semiconductor manufacturing.

Trump Signs Law to Launch Dollar 2.0 - Ad

Trump just signed law S.1582, unleashing the biggest money shift in 100+ years. For the first time since 1913, private firms - not the Fed - can mint a "Dollar 2.0." Treasury says it could drain $6.6T from banks and pay 10X current savings rates. Early investors in minting firms could see 40X returns by 2032.

California revokes 17,000 driver's licenses. But the state disputes it is over immigration concerns

California plans to revoke 17,000 commercial driver’s licenses given to immigrants after the Trump administration raised concerns about people in the country illegally receiving licenses to drive a semitruck or a bus. But Gov. Gavin Newsom said that isn't the reason.

The Market Just Crossed a Dangerous Line - Ad

The man who predicted the 2008 crash and 2020 says today's soaring markets are NOT a bubble - they're something far stranger and more dangerous. He says it's about to change everything you know about money.

Amazon's $150 Billion AI Capex Surge Could Force Its First Big Bond Deal In Years

Amazon may need to tap Wall Street for funds as it faces rising AI and data center spending, despite sitting on $84 billion in cash.

Legally "Skim" $6,361 Into Your Account? - Ad

A former hedge fund manager is now sharing his "Skim Codes" with regular people. They're not stocks. They're not crypto. They're 18-character codes designed to profit from recent market conditions. All you have to do is punch them into an ordinary brokerage account. 84% of these codes have given people the chance to generate cash payouts so far... and his next code is going out any day now.

Tesla Sets A New Sales Record, But Not In America

Tesla set several records in the third quarter. The company now has a big annual record set, but its not for the American market.

Why Are 21 Billionaires Moving Their Money ASAP? - Ad

One of the biggest stock market events in 25 years is rapidly unfolding... The economist who predicted the 2008 Financial Crisis says it will be: "The Biggest Crash of Our Lifetime." It could cut the entire tech marketing by HALF.

Donald Trump Fueled Bitcoin's Rise Beyond $100,000 — Can BTC Survive His 2028 Exit?

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) may face its biggest political stress test yet in 2028 when President Donald Trump leaves office and the pro-crypto admin

What's Up With The Jump In Oracle Stock Today?

Oracle Corp (NASDAQ:ORCL) shares are trading higher on Wednesday following an analyst update. Here's a look at what's going on.

Trump's $5.3 Trillion "Manhattan Project" - Ad

Trump just launched a $5.3T AI-powered missile shield-America's modern "Manhattan Project." While defense giants scramble, one tiny firm is already 40x smaller than Lockheed... yet leads anti-drone tech in 300+ defense programs. With $1.3B in contracts, this stock could soar.

Why Is Sigma Lithium Stock Gaining Friday?

Sigma Lithium posts Q3 revenue of $28.5M, EPS loss narrows to 10 cents, as sales volumes rise 21% and lithium prices jump 33% Q/Q.

Brazilian environmentalist gets funded by DiCaprio after false forest fire accusation by Bolsonaro

SAO PAULO (AP) — Being falsely accused of setting fire in with funds from an Oscar-winning actor eventually became a blessing in disguise for Caetano Scannavino, the founder of a nonprofit organization in the heart of the rainforest.

Elon's Optimus to Mint New "Musk Millionaires" as Soon as Jan 26? - Ad

Elon Musk may be set to create more "Musk Millionaires" as soon as January 26... Because on that day, he's expected to officially launch his Optimus robot... An AI-powered robot that Elon himself says will be capable of "doing anything bar nothing". Now, it's important to point out that Elon hasn't released it to the public yet... But ahead of the launch, one Silicon Valley insider has identified a "backdoor way" for any American to invest in Optimus with a regular brokerage account...

Trump Administration Wins Temporary Supreme Court Reprieve In Fight Over Billions In SNAP Payments For 42 Million Americans

The Supreme Court temporarily froze a lower court ruling that had compelled the Trump administration to immediately provide full federal food benefits to roughly 42 million Americans.

Tesla Showroom Fire Destroys 24 Vehicles In France — Authorities Suspect Arson: Report

Tesla showroom in France reported a fire incident, which destroyed over 24 cars. Authorities say no casualties recorded.

Is Elon's Empire Crumbling? - Ad

Jeff Brown - the legend who called Tesla and Nvidia early - says Elon is about to launch a $25T AI revolution. This isn't another chatbot. It's real-world AI that could 14X the impact of ChatGPT. But after January 29, it may be too late.

Trump Wants Washington Commanders' $3.7 Billion Stadium Named After Him: Report

President Donald Trump is seeking to have the Washington Commanders' new $3.7 billion stadium named after him.

UK's Treasury chief set to raise taxes once again in her second budget

LONDON (AP) — Following weeks of speculation, will deliver its second budget later Wednesday since it returned to power in a after 14 years in opposition.

Weiss Gold Veteran Makes Shocking New Call - Ad

Weiss expert Sean Brodrick went out on a limb last year and declared a historic event would send the yellow metal to $3,150. People laughed at him at the time, but he was off by just two days. Now, Sean has a shocking new prediction for gold ... and reveals a little-known way to get ahead of this bull market.

Trending Now

Information, charts or examples are for illustration and educational purposes only and not for individualized investment management This message contains commercial elements, such as advertising. We only send these offers to those who have opted in to our newsletter. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For these reasons we strongly suggest trading in a DEMO/Simulated account. The information provided by us is for educational and informational purposes only. We make no representations or warranties concerning the products, practices or procedures of any company or entity mentioned or recommended and have not determined if the statements and opinions of the advertiser are accurate, correct or truthful. If you use, act upon or make decisions in reliance on information contained or any external source linked within it, you do so at your own peril and agree to hold us, our officers, directors, shareholders, affiliates and agents without fault.

Copyright trendadvisor.net
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service